{
  "model": "Qwen2.5-14B-Instruct",
  "lineage": "Lucidia-Answerer candidate",
  "feature_recipe": {
    "logprob": "[mean_lp,min_lp,mean_ent,max_ent] @ max_tokens=24,temp=0,top5",
    "resid": "mid-stack mean-pooled residual @ layer L*=3"
  },
  "instruments": {
    "logprob": {
      "quants": {
        "fp16": {
          "cv_auroc": 0.863,
          "off_map_thr": 0.95,
          "held_out_fp": 0.0,
          "off_map_recall": 0.125,
          "null": {
            "mean": 0.489,
            "p95": 0.633,
            "n": 200
          },
          "significant": true,
          "probe": {
            "mean": [
              -0.180105,
              -0.956432,
              0.327842,
              1.223276
            ],
            "scale": [
              0.115502,
              0.502964,
              0.169046,
              0.294146
            ],
            "coef": [
              -0.354884,
              -0.340988,
              0.959516,
              0.523133
            ],
            "intercept": -0.577295,
            "uncertain_thr": 0.835,
            "off_map_thr": 0.95
          }
        },
        "nf4": {
          "cv_auroc": 0.806,
          "off_map_thr": 0.95,
          "held_out_fp": 0.0,
          "off_map_recall": 0.042,
          "null": {
            "mean": 0.476,
            "p95": 0.629,
            "n": 200
          },
          "significant": true,
          "probe": {
            "mean": [
              -0.167199,
              -0.933136,
              0.302731,
              1.192777
            ],
            "scale": [
              0.115854,
              0.547072,
              0.161657,
              0.313941
            ],
            "coef": [
              -0.393379,
              -0.164267,
              0.63115,
              0.454104
            ],
            "intercept": -0.483511,
            "uncertain_thr": 0.896,
            "off_map_thr": 0.95
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "resid": {
      "layer": 3,
      "quants": {
        "fp16": {
          "cv_auroc": 1.0,
          "off_map_thr": 0.328,
          "held_out_fp": 0.0,
          "off_map_recall": 0.971,
          "null": {
            "mean": 0.522,
            "p95": 0.672,
            "n": 50
          },
          "significant": true,
          "uncertain_thr": 0.208
        },
        "nf4": {
          "cv_auroc": 1.0,
          "off_map_thr": 0.343,
          "held_out_fp": 0.0,
          "off_map_recall": 0.971,
          "null": {
            "mean": 0.517,
            "p95": 0.655,
            "n": 50
          },
          "significant": true,
          "uncertain_thr": 0.223
        }
      },
      "weights_ref": "resid_probe_Qwen2.5-14B-Instruct.npz"
    }
  },
  "scope": "flags off-map/fabricated ENTITIES + off-distribution inputs and hedges on them; NOT a truth oracle (blind to confident on-manifold reasoning ~0.61 and fluent lies ~0.59); per-model + per-quant calibration; no activation steering.",
  "regime_note": "each quant carries its OWN reals-anchored thresholds (logprob scores shift under quant; resid is robust)."
}