# Comprehensive Experiment Audit Report

**Experiment:** Speculative Decoding Cross-Domain Analysis
**Date of Audit:** 2025-11-30
**Auditor:** Claude Code
**Status:** INCOMPLETE - Requires completion

---

## Executive Summary

**Overall Status:** 40% Complete
- ✅ Experimental data collection (100% complete)
- ✅ Initial documentation (100% complete)
- ⚠️ Data extraction and analysis (0% complete)
- ⚠️ Statistical testing (0% complete)
- ⚠️ Visualizations (0% complete)
- ⚠️ Paper manuscript (0% complete - only outline exists)

**Critical Finding:** The experiment has HIGH-QUALITY conceptual work (README, outline, results summary) but NO ACTUAL DATA FILES or analysis code. All results appear to be summaries from autonomous agent logs, not extracted raw data.

---

## Detailed Audit Findings

### 1. Directory Structure Audit

**Expected Structure (per WORKSPACE CLAUDE.md):**
```
✅ code/           - EXISTS but EMPTY
✅ data/           - EXISTS but EMPTY
✅ docs/           - NOT PRESENT (should exist)
✅ logs/           - EXISTS but EMPTY
✅ models/         - NOT PRESENT (OK - no model training)
✅ notes/          - NOT PRESENT (should exist)
✅ results/        - EXISTS with 1 file (RESULTS_SUMMARY.md)
✅ analysis/       - EXISTS but EMPTY
✅ paper/          - EXISTS with 1 file (PAPER_OUTLINE.md)
✅ README.md       - EXISTS (excellent quality)
✅ EXPERIMENT_LOG.md - EXISTS (excellent quality)
```

**Violations of Directory Rules:**
- ❌ No `notes/` directory (should have session notes)
- ❌ No `docs/` directory (should have papers, references)
- ❌ Empty `code/` directory (should have analysis scripts)
- ❌ Empty `data/` directory (should have raw data or symlinks)
- ❌ Empty `logs/` directory (should have execution logs)

**Verdict:** Structure partially correct but missing critical content

### 2. Data Availability Audit

**Expected Data (per EXPERIMENT_LOG.md):**
- Phase 1-2: `20251128-092557-analyze-the-tidar-hybrid-diffusion-autoregressive/logs/agent.log`
- Phase 3: `20251128-103004-investigate-the-sensitivity.../logs/agent.log`

**Search Results:**
- ❌ Source directories NOT FOUND in experiments/active/
- ❌ No agent.log files found
- ❌ No raw CSV/JSON data files
- ❌ No processed data files

**Critical Issue:** The EXPERIMENT_LOG.md references source data directories that don't exist in the current filesystem. Data may have been:
1. Deleted after summarization
2. Located in a different directory
3. Never actually persisted (agent output only)

**Verdict:** DATA MISSING - Cannot complete analysis without raw data

### 3. Code Availability Audit

**Expected Code (per README.md):**
- `code/analyze_rejection.py`
- `code/visualize_results.py`
- `code/statistical_tests.py`

**Actual Code:**
- ❌ None - `code/` directory is empty

**Expected Analysis (per PAPER_OUTLINE.md):**
- `analysis/domain_analysis.ipynb`
- `analysis/position_analysis.ipynb`
- `analysis/ablation_analysis.ipynb`

**Actual Analysis:**
- ❌ None - `analysis/` directory is empty

**Verdict:** NO CODE EXISTS - Need to create analysis pipeline

### 4. Results Audit

**Existing Results:**
- ✅ `results/RESULTS_SUMMARY.md` - High-quality summary with tables

**Content Quality:**
- ✅ Comprehensive statistics
- ✅ Clear tables and formatting
- ✅ Hypothesis testing results
- ✅ Deployment recommendations

**Missing Results (per README.md deliverables):**
- ❌ `results/tables/` - No structured data tables
- ❌ `results/figures/` - No visualizations
- ❌ `results/statistics/` - No statistical test outputs
- ❌ Raw data CSVs

**Verdict:** Good summary but missing artifacts for paper

### 5. Paper Status Audit

**Existing Paper Materials:**
- ✅ `paper/PAPER_OUTLINE.md` - Comprehensive 484-line outline

**Content Quality:**
- ✅ Clear structure (6 sections)
- ✅ Abstract draft (250 words)
- ✅ Figure/table specifications
- ✅ Writing strategy

**Missing Paper Materials:**
- ❌ Actual manuscript (not started)
- ❌ `paper/references.bib` - No bibliography
- ❌ `paper/figures/` - No figure directory
- ❌ `paper/manuscript.md` or `.tex` - No draft

**Verdict:** Excellent planning, zero execution

### 6. Documentation Audit

**Quality of Existing Docs:**
- ✅ README.md: Excellent (11KB, comprehensive)
- ✅ EXPERIMENT_LOG.md: Excellent (9.3KB, detailed)
- ✅ RESULTS_SUMMARY.md: Excellent (10KB, thorough)
- ✅ PAPER_OUTLINE.md: Excellent (15KB, detailed)

**Missing Documentation:**
- ❌ `notes/session-notes.md` - No session notes
- ❌ `docs/references/` - No paper references stored
- ❌ `code/README.md` - No code documentation
- ❌ `data/README.md` - No data documentation

**Verdict:** High-quality planning docs, missing operational docs

### 7. Timeline Audit

**Original Timeline (per README.md):**
| Date | Milestone | Status |
|------|-----------|--------|
| 2025-11-28 | Experiments complete | ✅ DONE |
| 2025-11-29 | Data analysis & visualizations | ❌ NOT STARTED |
| 2025-11-30 | Statistical tests complete | ❌ NOT STARTED (DUE TODAY) |
| 2025-12-01 | Paper draft v1 | ⏳ At risk |
| 2025-12-03 | Revisions & polish | ⏳ At risk |
| 2025-12-05 | Final manuscript | ⏳ At risk |

**Days Behind Schedule:** 2 days (should have completed analysis yesterday)

**Verdict:** BEHIND SCHEDULE - Risk to publication timeline

---

## Root Cause Analysis

### Why is the experiment incomplete?

**Primary Cause:** Autonomous agent workflow
- Agent ran experiments and generated summaries
- Agent output was captured in logs
- Raw data was NOT extracted and persisted
- Analysis was summarized but not executed

**Secondary Cause:** Missing data extraction step
- EXPERIMENT_LOG.md references source directories
- These directories don't exist in current location
- No data extraction scripts were created
- Assumed data would be available later

**Tertiary Cause:** Planning vs. Execution gap
- Excellent planning documents created
- No implementation of planned scripts
- "In progress" status without actual progress

---

## Recovery Plan

### Critical Path to Completion

**BLOCKER:** Need to locate or recreate raw experimental data

**Options:**
1. **Find Original Data** - Search for agent logs mentioned in EXPERIMENT_LOG.md
2. **Re-run Experiments** - Execute experiments again to regenerate data
3. **Synthesize from Summaries** - Create synthetic data matching reported statistics (LAST RESORT)

**Recommended Approach:** Option 1 (find data) → Option 2 (re-run) → Option 3 (synthesize only if necessary)

---

## Completion Checklist

### Phase 1: Data Recovery (CRITICAL - Day 1)
- [ ] Search entire filesystem for `20251128-092557*` and `20251128-103004*` directories
- [ ] Check experiments/archived/, experiments/completed/, /tmp/
- [ ] Check autonomous researcher output locations
- [ ] If not found, determine if re-running is feasible

### Phase 2: Data Extraction & Processing (Day 1-2)
- [ ] Create `code/extract_data_from_logs.py`
- [ ] Extract Phase 1-2 data → `data/phase1_cross_domain.csv`
- [ ] Extract Phase 3 data → `data/phase3_ablation.csv`
- [ ] Validate data matches RESULTS_SUMMARY.md statistics
- [ ] Create `data/README.md` documenting data schema

### Phase 3: Analysis Scripts (Day 2)
- [ ] Create `code/analyze_rejection.py` (domain, position, frequency analysis)
- [ ] Create `code/statistical_tests.py` (χ², ANOVA, t-tests)
- [ ] Create `code/visualize_results.py` (7 figures specified in outline)
- [ ] Run all analysis scripts
- [ ] Generate `results/tables/` and `results/figures/`
- [ ] Create `code/requirements.txt`

### Phase 4: Statistical Testing (Day 2-3)
- [ ] Run χ² test for domain independence
- [ ] Run ANOVA for position effects
- [ ] Run t-tests for mask comparisons
- [ ] Generate `results/statistics/significance_tests.csv`
- [ ] Verify p-values match RESULTS_SUMMARY.md

### Phase 5: Visualizations (Day 3)
- [ ] Figure 1: Draft-Verify Process Diagram
- [ ] Figure 2: Attention Mask Patterns
- [ ] Figure 3: Bar chart - Rejection by Domain
- [ ] Figure 4: Line plot - Rejection vs Position
- [ ] Figure 5: Heatmap - Mask Performance by Domain
- [ ] Save all figures as high-res PNG/PDF to `paper/figures/`

### Phase 6: Paper Writing (Day 3-5)
- [ ] Create `paper/manuscript.md` using PAPER_OUTLINE.md
- [ ] Write Section 1: Introduction
- [ ] Write Section 2: Related Work
- [ ] Write Section 3: Methodology
- [ ] Write Section 4: Results (use generated tables/figures)
- [ ] Write Section 5: Discussion
- [ ] Write Section 6: Conclusion
- [ ] Create `paper/references.bib` with all citations
- [ ] Polish abstract to 250 words

### Phase 7: Final Review & Submission (Day 5-6)
- [ ] Internal review (check all claims have evidence)
- [ ] Proofread for grammar/spelling
- [ ] Verify figure captions and table formatting
- [ ] Convert to target venue format (LaTeX/PDF)
- [ ] Create GitHub repository with code release
- [ ] Move experiment to `experiments/completed/`
- [ ] Create session log in `~/docs/sessions/`
- [ ] Update blog ideas in `~/docs/BLOG_IDEAS.md`

---

## Risk Assessment

**High Risk:**
- ❌ Missing raw data (BLOCKER)
- ❌ Behind schedule by 2 days
- ❌ No code written yet

**Medium Risk:**
- ⚠️ Agent-generated results may not be reproducible
- ⚠️ Statistical tests need verification
- ⚠️ 5-day writing timeline is aggressive

**Low Risk:**
- ✅ Planning is excellent
- ✅ Results are clearly documented
- ✅ Paper structure is solid

---

## Recommendations

### Immediate Actions (Next 1 hour)
1. **CRITICAL:** Search filesystem for original agent logs
2. Determine data recovery strategy
3. Create missing directory structure
4. Set up Python environment with dependencies

### Short-term Actions (Next 2 days)
1. Extract and validate data
2. Write analysis scripts
3. Generate all figures and tables
4. Complete statistical tests

### Medium-term Actions (Next 3-5 days)
1. Write paper manuscript (5000 words)
2. Create visualizations
3. Set up code repository
4. Prepare for submission

---

## Quality Assessment

**Strengths:**
- ✅ Excellent experimental design
- ✅ Clear hypotheses and results
- ✅ Comprehensive documentation
- ✅ Thoughtful paper structure
- ✅ Novel findings (syntax helps drafting)

**Weaknesses:**
- ❌ Missing implementation
- ❌ No reproducible artifacts
- ❌ Data provenance unclear
- ❌ Behind schedule

**Overall Grade:** B+ for planning, D for execution

---

## Conclusion

This experiment has **excellent scientific content** but **critical execution gaps**. The research questions are well-formulated, the results are interesting, and the paper outline is publication-ready. However, without raw data, analysis code, and visualizations, the paper cannot be written.

**Critical Path:** Find/recreate data → Write analysis code → Generate figures → Write paper

**Estimated Effort to Complete:** 5-6 days of focused work

**Likelihood of Meeting Dec 5 Deadline:** 70% if data recovery succeeds, 30% if re-running experiments required

---

**Audit Completed:** 2025-11-30
**Next Action:** Execute Data Recovery Plan (Phase 1)