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message: "If you use this dataset, please cite it as below."
title: "AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset"
abstract: >-
Open, auditable dataset cross-referencing prediction markets (Polymarket),
TSE-registered electoral polls, and press coverage for Brazil's 2026
presidential cycle, with explicit market-versus-poll divergence rather than
smoothed averages. Includes the official TSE poll registry, published national
poll results, a daily Polymarket odds time-series, and a reconstructed
divergence time-series.
type: dataset
authors:
- name: "AFOS Analytics"
website: "https://afos-analytics.com"
keywords:
- elections
- Brazil
- prediction markets
- electoral polls
- TSE
- political risk
- divergence
- open data
license:
- CC-BY-4.0
- Apache-2.0
repository: "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/brazil-2026-electoral-divergence"
url: "https://afos-analytics.com"
version: "2026.06"
date-released: "2026-06-10"
preferred-citation:
type: dataset
title: "AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset"
authors:
- name: "AFOS Analytics"
year: 2026
publisher:
name: "Hugging Face"
license: CC-BY-4.0
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