| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-10,Lula,44.5,39,5.5 | |
| 2026-06-10,Flávio Bolsonaro,28.65,29,-0.35 | |
| 2026-06-10,Renan Santos,16.65,3,13.65 | |
| 2026-06-10,Ronaldo Caiado,1.75,3,-1.25 | |
| 2026-06-10,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-10,Romeu Zema,1.85,2,-0.15 | |
| 2026-06-10,Fernando Haddad,2.85,0,2.85 | |