cff-version: 1.2.0
message: "If you use this dataset, please cite it as below."
title: "AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset"
abstract: >-
  Open, auditable dataset cross-referencing prediction markets (Polymarket),
  TSE-registered electoral polls, and press coverage for Brazil's 2026
  presidential cycle, with explicit market-versus-poll divergence rather than
  smoothed averages. Includes the official TSE poll registry, published national
  poll results, a daily Polymarket odds time-series, and a reconstructed
  divergence time-series.
type: dataset
authors:
  - name: "AFOS Analytics"
    website: "https://afos-analytics.com"
keywords:
  - elections
  - Brazil
  - prediction markets
  - electoral polls
  - TSE
  - political risk
  - divergence
  - open data
license:
  - CC-BY-4.0
  - Apache-2.0
repository: "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/brazil-2026-electoral-divergence"
url: "https://afos-analytics.com"
version: "2026.06"
date-released: "2026-06-10"
preferred-citation:
  type: dataset
  title: "AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset"
  authors:
    - name: "AFOS Analytics"
  year: 2026
  publisher:
    name: "Hugging Face"
  license: CC-BY-4.0