date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-04,Lula,40.5,38,2.5
2026-06-04,Flávio Bolsonaro,30.4,31,-0.6
2026-06-04,Renan Santos,15.9,6,9.9
2026-06-04,Ronaldo Caiado,1.9,6,-4.1
2026-06-04,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-04,Romeu Zema,2.5,4,-1.5
2026-06-04,Fernando Haddad,5.1,0,5.1