date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-06,Lula,40.5,42.1,-1.6
2026-06-06,Flávio Bolsonaro,28.15,33.6,-5.45
2026-06-06,Renan Santos,16.7,6,10.7
2026-06-06,Ronaldo Caiado,1.95,6.9,-4.95
2026-06-06,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-06,Romeu Zema,3.05,4,-0.95
2026-06-06,Fernando Haddad,3.25,0,3.25