date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp 2026-06-08,Lula,40.5,42.1,-1.6 2026-06-08,Flávio Bolsonaro,27.15,33.6,-6.45 2026-06-08,Renan Santos,17.55,6,11.55 2026-06-08,Ronaldo Caiado,1.75,6.9,-5.15 2026-06-08,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 2026-06-08,Romeu Zema,2.2,4,-1.8 2026-06-08,Fernando Haddad,2.95,0,2.95