date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-10,Lula,44.5,39,5.5
2026-06-10,Flávio Bolsonaro,28.65,29,-0.35
2026-06-10,Renan Santos,16.65,3,13.65
2026-06-10,Ronaldo Caiado,1.75,3,-1.25
2026-06-10,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-10,Romeu Zema,1.85,2,-0.15
2026-06-10,Fernando Haddad,2.85,0,2.85