andrefelipe-afos
EVAL fixes: CITATION matchup (was Peru's), drop phantom candidate from dict, normalize pollster names, market-name guard
510c322 | { | |
| "description": "National opinion polls for the 2026 Colombian presidential election — first round (all candidates) + runoff (de la Espriella vs Cepeda). Parsed deterministically from Wikipedia.", | |
| "source": "Wikipedia \"2026 Colombian presidential election\" (rendered table HTML) + AS/COA poll tracker", | |
| "election": { | |
| "first_round": "2026-05-31", | |
| "runoff": "2026-06-21", | |
| "runoff_matchup": "Abelardo de la Espriella vs Iván Cepeda" | |
| }, | |
| "counts": { | |
| "first_round_polls": 29, | |
| "first_round_rows": 170, | |
| "runoff_polls": 0 | |
| }, | |
| "first_round": [ | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-01-29", | |
| "fieldwork": "27–29 Jan", | |
| "pollster": "CNC", | |
| "sample": 1513, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "María José Pizarro", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 4.3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 4.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 11.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 12.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 7.8 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-02-13", | |
| "fieldwork": "10–13 Feb", | |
| "pollster": "Guarumo", | |
| "sample": 2140, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 2.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "María José Pizarro", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 4.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 3.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 1.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 11.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 15.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 0.4 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-03-20", | |
| "fieldwork": "18–20 Mar", | |
| "pollster": "CNC", | |
| "sample": 1594, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 3.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "María José Pizarro", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 7.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 6.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 1.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 13.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 13.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 7.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 0.4 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-03-25", | |
| "fieldwork": "21–25 Mar", | |
| "pollster": "Invamer", | |
| "sample": 1200, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 4.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "María José Pizarro", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 3.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 4.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 0.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 1.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 9.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 8.3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 7.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 0.6 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-04-26", | |
| "fieldwork": "21–26 Apr", | |
| "pollster": "Guarumo", | |
| "sample": 2159, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 3.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "María José Pizarro", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 2.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 3.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 11.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 11.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 4 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-07-05", | |
| "fieldwork": "1–5 Jul", | |
| "pollster": "Guarumo", | |
| "sample": 2122, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 2.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "María José Pizarro", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 3.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 8.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 0.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 1.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 8.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 11.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 3 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-10-16", | |
| "fieldwork": "11–16 Oct", | |
| "pollster": "CNC", | |
| "sample": 1803, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 2.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 0.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 13.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 8.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 6.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 2.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 1.5 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-11-14", | |
| "fieldwork": "6–14 Nov", | |
| "pollster": "CNC", | |
| "sample": 2140, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 20.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 1.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 14.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 7.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 3.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 3.3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 0.6 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-11-15", | |
| "fieldwork": "10–15 Nov", | |
| "pollster": "Yamil Cure S.A.S", | |
| "sample": 2250, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 19.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Daniel Quintero", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 5.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 15.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 10.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 4.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 5.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 2.2 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-11-27", | |
| "fieldwork": "15–27 Nov", | |
| "pollster": "Invamer", | |
| "sample": 2080, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 31.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 1.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 18.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 8.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 3.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 1.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 2.9 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2025-12-17", | |
| "fieldwork": "13–17 Dec", | |
| "pollster": "W.A.A", | |
| "sample": 11509, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 30.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 0.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 16.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 6.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Vicky Dávila", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 3.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Manuel Galán", | |
| "party": "Nuevo Liberalismo", | |
| "percent": 1.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Juan Carlos Pinzón", | |
| "party": "Independiente", | |
| "percent": 0.7 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-01-08", | |
| "fieldwork": "5–8 January 2026", | |
| "pollster": "AtlasIntel/SEMANA", | |
| "sample": 4550, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 26.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 28 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 5.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 9.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.2 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-01-15", | |
| "fieldwork": "13–15 January 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Noticias RCN/Gad3", | |
| "sample": 1207, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 30 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 22 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 1 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-01-21", | |
| "fieldwork": "15–21 January 2026", | |
| "pollster": "CNC/Cambio", | |
| "sample": 2202, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 28.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 15.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 9.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.3 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-01-22", | |
| "fieldwork": "14–22 January 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Guarumo/EcoAnalítica", | |
| "sample": 4245, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 33.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 18.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 6.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 3.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-02-04", | |
| "fieldwork": "27 January – 4 February 2026", | |
| "pollster": "AtlasIntel/SEMANA", | |
| "sample": 7298, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 31.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 32.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 3.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 7.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.3 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-02-20", | |
| "fieldwork": "February 2026", | |
| "pollster": "CELAG", | |
| "sample": null, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 38.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 25.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 4.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 4.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 1 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-02-22", | |
| "fieldwork": "11–22 February 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Invamer", | |
| "sample": 3800, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 37.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 18.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 10 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 6.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 1.8 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-03-12", | |
| "fieldwork": "10–12 March 2026", | |
| "pollster": "AtlasIntel/SEMANA", | |
| "sample": 4291, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 36.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 27.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 17.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 7.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.9 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-03-18", | |
| "fieldwork": "16–18 March 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Noticias RCN/Gad3", | |
| "sample": 1200, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 35 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 21 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 16 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.1 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-03-20", | |
| "fieldwork": "March 2026", | |
| "pollster": "CELAG", | |
| "sample": null, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 40.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 15.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 21.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 3.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.3 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-03-21", | |
| "fieldwork": "17–21 March 2026", | |
| "pollster": "CNC", | |
| "sample": 2157, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 34.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 15.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 22.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 3.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-03-25", | |
| "fieldwork": "19–25 March 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Guarumo/EcoAnalítica", | |
| "sample": 3736, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 37.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 20.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 19.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 3.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.6 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-04-09", | |
| "fieldwork": "6–9 April 2026", | |
| "pollster": "AtlasIntel/SEMANA", | |
| "sample": 3617, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 40.82 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 29.43 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 24.79 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 5.38 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.32 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-04-22", | |
| "fieldwork": "20–22 April 2026", | |
| "pollster": "GAD3", | |
| "sample": 1500, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 36 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 21 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 13 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 2.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.1 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-04-24", | |
| "fieldwork": "15–24 April 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Invamer", | |
| "sample": 3800, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 44.3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 21.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 19.8 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.1 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-05-11", | |
| "fieldwork": "4–11 May 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Fundación Génesis Crea", | |
| "sample": 4352, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 35.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 21.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 25.4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 2.9 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.7 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-05-14", | |
| "fieldwork": "9–14 May 2026", | |
| "pollster": "AtlasIntel/SEMANA", | |
| "sample": 5039, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 36 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 31.5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 16 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 4.7 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.1 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "poll_date": "2026-05-20", | |
| "fieldwork": "13–20 May 2026", | |
| "pollster": "Invamer", | |
| "sample": 2224, | |
| "results": [ | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Iván Cepeda", | |
| "party": "Pacto Histórico", | |
| "percent": 44.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Abelardo de la Espriella", | |
| "party": "Defensores de la Patria", | |
| "percent": 31.6 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Paloma Valencia", | |
| "party": "Centro Democrático", | |
| "percent": 14 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Sergio Fajardo", | |
| "party": "Dignidad y Compromiso", | |
| "percent": 2.2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "candidate": "Roy Barreras", | |
| "party": "La Fuerza de la Paz", | |
| "percent": 0.3 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "runoff": [] | |
| } |