import csv import json import sys from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple DEFAULT_REFERENCE_PATH = "data/tester.csv" DEFAULT_PREDICTIONS_PATH = "predictions.csv" def _safe_float(value, default: float = 0.0) -> float: try: return float(value) except (TypeError, ValueError): return default def _normalize_binary(value) -> int: value_str = str(value).strip().lower() if value_str in {"1", "true", "yes", "y", "positive", "fail", "failure"}: return 1 return 0 def _read_csv(path: str) -> List[Dict[str, str]]: with open(path, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f: return list(csv.DictReader(f)) def _find_label_column(fieldnames: List[str]) -> str: label_candidates = [col for col in fieldnames if col.startswith("label_")] if len(label_candidates) == 1: return label_candidates[0] if not label_candidates: raise ValueError("No label column found. Expected a column starting with 'label_'.") raise ValueError( f"Multiple label columns found: {label_candidates}. Expected exactly one label column." ) def _find_prediction_columns(fieldnames: List[str]) -> Tuple[Optional[str], Optional[str]]: pred_label_candidates = [ "prediction", "pred", "predicted_label", "prediction_label", "label_pred", "y_pred", "output", ] pred_score_candidates = [ "prediction_score", "pred_score", "score", "probability", "prob", "confidence", "risk_score", "y_score", ] pred_label_col = next((c for c in pred_label_candidates if c in fieldnames), None) pred_score_col = next((c for c in pred_score_candidates if c in fieldnames), None) return pred_label_col, pred_score_col def _index_prediction_rows( rows: List[Dict[str, str]], id_column: Optional[str] ) -> Dict[str, Dict[str, str]]: if not id_column: return {str(i): row for i, row in enumerate(rows)} return {str(row[id_column]): row for row in rows} def _detect_join_key( reference_fields: List[str], prediction_fields: List[str] ) -> Optional[str]: preferred_keys = ["id", "row_id", "sample_id", "case_id", "record_id"] for key in preferred_keys: if key in reference_fields and key in prediction_fields: return key return None def _build_y_true_y_pred( reference_rows: List[Dict[str, str]], prediction_rows: List[Dict[str, str]], label_col: str, pred_label_col: Optional[str], pred_score_col: Optional[str], threshold: float, ) -> Tuple[List[int], List[int], List[float], Dict[str, int], List[Dict[str, str]]]: if not prediction_rows: raise ValueError("Predictions file is empty.") ref_fields = list(reference_rows[0].keys()) pred_fields = list(prediction_rows[0].keys()) join_key = _detect_join_key(ref_fields, pred_fields) pred_index = _index_prediction_rows(prediction_rows, join_key) y_true: List[int] = [] y_pred: List[int] = [] y_score: List[float] = [] matched_reference_rows: List[Dict[str, str]] = [] matched_rows = 0 missing_predictions = 0 for i, ref_row in enumerate(reference_rows): ref_lookup = str(ref_row[join_key]) if join_key else str(i) pred_row = pred_index.get(ref_lookup) if pred_row is None: missing_predictions += 1 continue true_label = _normalize_binary(ref_row.get(label_col, 0)) if pred_label_col and pred_label_col in pred_row: pred_label = _normalize_binary(pred_row.get(pred_label_col, 0)) pred_score = float(pred_label) elif pred_score_col and pred_score_col in pred_row: pred_score = _safe_float(pred_row.get(pred_score_col, 0.0)) pred_label = 1 if pred_score >= threshold else 0 else: raise ValueError( "No usable prediction column found. Provide a binary prediction column " "or a score column such as prediction_score." ) y_true.append(true_label) y_pred.append(pred_label) y_score.append(pred_score) matched_reference_rows.append(ref_row) matched_rows += 1 support = { "reference_rows": len(reference_rows), "prediction_rows": len(prediction_rows), "matched_rows": matched_rows, "missing_predictions": missing_predictions, "join_key_used": 0 if join_key is None else 1, } if matched_rows == 0: raise ValueError("No rows could be matched between reference and prediction files.") return y_true, y_pred, y_score, support, matched_reference_rows def _confusion_matrix(y_true: List[int], y_pred: List[int]) -> Dict[str, int]: tp = tn = fp = fn = 0 for truth, pred in zip(y_true, y_pred): if truth == 1 and pred == 1: tp += 1 elif truth == 0 and pred == 0: tn += 1 elif truth == 0 and pred == 1: fp += 1 elif truth == 1 and pred == 0: fn += 1 return {"tp": tp, "tn": tn, "fp": fp, "fn": fn} def _accuracy(tp: int, tn: int, fp: int, fn: int) -> float: denom = tp + tn + fp + fn return (tp + tn) / denom if denom else 0.0 def _precision(tp: int, fp: int) -> float: denom = tp + fp return tp / denom if denom else 0.0 def _recall(tp: int, fn: int) -> float: denom = tp + fn return tp / denom if denom else 0.0 def _f1(precision: float, recall: float) -> float: denom = precision + recall return 2 * precision * recall / denom if denom else 0.0 def _trajectory_diagnostics( reference_rows: List[Dict[str, str]], y_true: List[int], y_pred: List[int], ) -> Dict[str, float]: if not reference_rows or "drift_gradient" not in reference_rows[0]: return { "trajectory_positive_support": 0, "recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection": 0.0, "false_stable_trajectory_rate": 0.0, "trajectory_label_alignment_rate": 0.0, } trajectory_positive_support = 0 trajectory_detected_tp = 0 trajectory_false_stable = 0 trajectory_alignment_hits = 0 for row, truth, pred in zip(reference_rows, y_true, y_pred): drift_gradient = _safe_float(row.get("drift_gradient", 0.0)) worsening_trajectory = 1 if drift_gradient > 0 else 0 if worsening_trajectory == 1: trajectory_positive_support += 1 if pred == 1: trajectory_detected_tp += 1 if pred == 0: trajectory_false_stable += 1 if worsening_trajectory == truth: trajectory_alignment_hits += 1 recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection = ( trajectory_detected_tp / trajectory_positive_support if trajectory_positive_support else 0.0 ) false_stable_trajectory_rate = ( trajectory_false_stable / trajectory_positive_support if trajectory_positive_support else 0.0 ) trajectory_label_alignment_rate = ( trajectory_alignment_hits / len(reference_rows) if reference_rows else 0.0 ) return { "trajectory_positive_support": trajectory_positive_support, "recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection": recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection, "false_stable_trajectory_rate": false_stable_trajectory_rate, "trajectory_label_alignment_rate": trajectory_label_alignment_rate, } def score( reference_path: str = DEFAULT_REFERENCE_PATH, predictions_path: str = DEFAULT_PREDICTIONS_PATH, threshold: float = 0.5, ) -> Dict[str, object]: reference_rows = _read_csv(reference_path) prediction_rows = _read_csv(predictions_path) if not reference_rows: raise ValueError("Reference file is empty.") label_col = _find_label_column(list(reference_rows[0].keys())) pred_label_col, pred_score_col = _find_prediction_columns(list(prediction_rows[0].keys())) y_true, y_pred, y_score, support, matched_reference_rows = _build_y_true_y_pred( reference_rows=reference_rows, prediction_rows=prediction_rows, label_col=label_col, pred_label_col=pred_label_col, pred_score_col=pred_score_col, threshold=threshold, ) cm = _confusion_matrix(y_true, y_pred) precision = _precision(cm["tp"], cm["fp"]) recall = _recall(cm["tp"], cm["fn"]) accuracy = _accuracy(cm["tp"], cm["tn"], cm["fp"], cm["fn"]) f1 = _f1(precision, recall) trajectory_metrics = _trajectory_diagnostics( reference_rows=matched_reference_rows, y_true=y_true, y_pred=y_pred, ) return { "label_column": label_col, "prediction_label_column": pred_label_col, "prediction_score_column": pred_score_col, "primary_metric": "recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection", "secondary_metric": "false_stable_trajectory_rate", "threshold_transparency": { "score_threshold_used": threshold if pred_score_col else None, "threshold_applied_to_score_column": pred_score_col, "predictions_interpreted_as": ( "binary labels from prediction column" if pred_label_col else "binary labels thresholded from score column" ), }, "support": { **support, "positive_label_support": sum(y_true), "negative_label_support": len(y_true) - sum(y_true), "predicted_positive_support": sum(y_pred), "predicted_negative_support": len(y_pred) - sum(y_pred), }, "metrics": { "accuracy": round(accuracy, 4), "precision": round(precision, 4), "recall": round(recall, 4), "f1": round(f1, 4), "recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection": round( trajectory_metrics["recall_trajectory_deterioration_detection"], 4 ), "false_stable_trajectory_rate": round( trajectory_metrics["false_stable_trajectory_rate"], 4 ), "trajectory_label_alignment_rate": round( trajectory_metrics["trajectory_label_alignment_rate"], 4 ), }, "confusion_matrix": cm, "trajectory_support": { "trajectory_positive_support": trajectory_metrics["trajectory_positive_support"], }, } if __name__ == "__main__": reference_path = sys.argv[1] if len(sys.argv) > 1 else DEFAULT_REFERENCE_PATH predictions_path = sys.argv[2] if len(sys.argv) > 2 else DEFAULT_PREDICTIONS_PATH threshold = float(sys.argv[3]) if len(sys.argv) > 3 else 0.5 output = score( reference_path=reference_path, predictions_path=predictions_path, threshold=threshold, ) print(json.dumps(output, indent=2))