{
  "date": "2026-05-29",
  "timestamp": "2026-05-29T23:50:28.527Z",
  "index": {
    "disagreement": 51,
    "geoRisk": 21,
    "breadth": 0.48,
    "activity": 43
  },
  "traditional": [
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "price": 755.37,
      "changePct": 0.45
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "price": 735.71,
      "changePct": 1.08
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IWM",
      "price": 291.58,
      "changePct": 0.39
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VIXY",
      "price": 23.65,
      "changePct": -1.95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SHY",
      "price": 82.25,
      "changePct": 0.03
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IEF",
      "price": 94.53,
      "changePct": 0.22
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TLT",
      "price": 85.72,
      "changePct": 0.42
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HYG",
      "price": 80.19,
      "changePct": 0.07
    },
    {
      "symbol": "GLD",
      "price": 412.61,
      "changePct": 0.93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "USO",
      "price": 131.12,
      "changePct": 0
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UNG",
      "price": 11.92,
      "changePct": 6.62
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CPER",
      "price": 39.05,
      "changePct": 1.47
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UUP",
      "price": 27.72,
      "changePct": -0.16
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FXE",
      "price": 107.49,
      "changePct": 0.16
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XLE",
      "price": 56.93,
      "changePct": -0.1
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EEM",
      "price": 68.67,
      "changePct": 0.39
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IBIT",
      "price": 41.64,
      "changePct": -2.12
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ETHE",
      "price": 16.3,
      "changePct": -2.34
    }
  ],
  "topics": [],
  "topEdges": [],
  "divergences": [
    {
      "description": "How many initial jobless claims will … lagging France GDP growth rate YoY prel for Q… — 85¢ gap [US fiscal / recession]",
      "implication": "",
      "affectedTickers": []
    },
    {
      "description": "MI-03 House Election Winner lagging Democratic win the House race for CA-… — 64¢ gap [US Elections]",
      "implication": "",
      "affectedTickers": []
    }
  ],
  "markdown": "# World (2026-05-29 23:30 UTC)\nRegime: Broad up-skew — markets resolving toward higher probability\nSimpleFunctions Index: Disagree 51 | GeoRisk 21 | Breadth +0.48 | Activity 43\nBaseline: last 12h\n\n## [divergence] How many initial jobless claims will … lagging France GDP growth rate YoY prel for Q… — 85¢ gap [US fiscal / recession]\n- lhs: {\"name\":\"Will France GDP growth rate YoY prel for Q2 2026 be above -0.6%?: Above -0.6%\",\"Δ\":\"85c\"}\n- rhs: {\"name\":\"How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending May 30, 2026?: At \",\"Δ\":\"31c\"}\n- gap: 85\n- theme: US fiscal / recession\n- triggerTicker: KXFRGDPYOYP-26JUL30-T-0.6\n- laggingTicker: KXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26JUN04-195000\n  → why? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-qk24h2`\n  → Will France GDP growth rate YoY prel for Q2 2026 be above -0.6%?: Above -0.6% spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`\n  → 6h path · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=history&dt=6h`\n\n## [divergence] MI-03 House Election Winner lagging Democratic win the House race for CA-… — 64¢ gap [US Elections]\n- lhs: {\"name\":\"Will Democratic win the House race for CA-43?: Democratic party\",\"Δ\":\"83c\"}\n- rhs: {\"name\":\"MI-03 House Election Winner: Republican Party\",\"Δ\":\"9c\"}\n- gap: 64\n- theme: US Elections\n- triggerTicker: KXHOUSERACE-CA43-26-D\n- laggingTicker: 0x5a9c199f5580fd145622bf822fdcab24c44f24cf3db997db3c6eaea3907578c1\n  → why? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-8zzth2`\n  → Will Democratic win the House race for CA-43?: Democratic party spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`\n  → 6h path · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=history&dt=6h`\n\n## [consensus_break] Oklahoma Governor Democratic Primary Winner: 3 markets deeply split (σ=43¢, range 92¢)\n- seriesKey: 97496\n- markets: [{\"ticker\":\"0x44277993368a2f9011cabfbee8894c7d71d3aad29c3049a8651c4d15db92ee04\",\"title\":\"Oklahoma Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Constance N. Johnson\",\"price\":3},{\"ticker\":...\n- dispersion: 43\n- range: 92\n- implication: markets disagree on resolution level\n  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`\n  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-6xcaak`\n\n## [consensus_break] Joe Walsh be the Democratic nominee for the …: 3 markets deeply split (σ=43¢, range 92¢)\n- seriesKey: KXSENATESCD\n- markets: [{\"ticker\":\"KXSENATESCD-26-AAND\",\"title\":\"Will Annie Andrews be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in South Carolina?: Annie Andrews\",\"price\":95},{\"ticker\":\"KXSENATESCD-26-JW...\n- dispersion: 43\n- range: 92\n- implication: markets disagree on resolution level\n  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`\n  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-b03b8a`\n\n## [consensus_break] South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Win…: 3 markets deeply split (σ=43¢, range 91¢)\n- seriesKey: 96042\n- markets: [{\"ticker\":\"0xbdfa967a35911cb4a847488050f31f2d69e272aff65aa6bf53dd87b90c01e7ac\",\"title\":\"South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner: Catherine Fleming Bruce\",\"price\":3},{\"t...\n- dispersion: 43\n- range: 91\n- implication: markets disagree on resolution level\n  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`\n  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-6xbk7u`\n\n## [residual] 3.0σ volume @ 10¢ — CPI rise more than 0.5% in July?\n- ticker: KXCPI-26JUL-T0.5\n- venue: kalshi\n- title: Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in July 2026?: Above 0.5%\n- price: 10\n- residualVr: 3.03\n- vr: 4.361\n- volume24h: 1254\n  → why moving? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-oizgl2`\n  → volume path · `GET /api/public/market/KXCPI-26JUL-T0.5`\n  → related · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=trail&from=KXCPI-26JUL-T0.5`\n\n## [resolving_soon] 95% no in 4h — average **gas prices** be above?\n- ticker: KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.430\n- venue: kalshi\n- title: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.430?: Above 4.430\n- price: 5\n- settlesInHours: 4\n- impliedProbability: 0.05\n- ifYes: resolves TRUE, pays 100¢\n- ifNo: resolves FALSE, pays 0¢\n  → price path · `GET /api/public/market/KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.430`\n  → nearby resolutions · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=catalyst`\n  → siblings · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=trail&from=KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.430`\n\n## [resolving_soon] 95% no in 4h — average **gas prices** be above?\n- ticker: KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.435\n- venue: kalshi\n- title: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.435?: Above 4.435\n- price: 5\n- settlesInHours: 4\n- impliedProbability: 0.05\n- ifYes: resolves TRUE, pays 100¢\n- ifNo: resolves FALSE, pays 0¢\n  → price path · `GET /api/public/market/KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.435`\n  → nearby resolutions · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=catalyst`\n  → siblings · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=trail&from=KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.435`\n\n## [resolving_soon] 95% no in 4h — average **gas prices** be above?\n- ticker: KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.450\n- venue: kalshi\n- title: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.450?: Above 4.450\n- price: 5\n- settlesInHours: 4\n- impliedProbability: 0.05\n- ifYes: resolves TRUE, pays 100¢\n- ifNo: resolves FALSE, pays 0¢\n  → price path · `GET /api/public/market/KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.450`\n  → nearby resolutions · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=catalyst`\n  → siblings · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=trail&from=KXAAAGASD-26MAY30-4.450`\n\n## [residual] 2.1σ volume @ 87¢ — above 0 jobs be added in May?\n- ticker: KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T0\n- venue: kalshi\n- title: Will above 0 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 0\n- price: 87\n- residualVr: 2.085\n- vr: 5.221\n- volume24h: 796\n  → why moving? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-a7ljsl`\n  → volume path · `GET /api/public/market/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T0`\n  → related · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=trail&from=KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T0`\n\n## Zoom\n- **Iran** — 289 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/iran`\n- **Oil & Energy** — 470 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/oil`\n- **Fed & Rates** — 1109 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/fed-rate`\n- **Recession** — 631 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/recession`\n- **2026 Elections** — 3156 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/election-2026`\n- **Crypto** — 1126 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/bitcoin`\n- **Ukraine/Russia** — 351 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/ukraine`\n- **China/Taiwan** — 286 markets → `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/china`\n\n---\nPath: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world\nOp: snapshot · Generated in 0ms",
  "markdownTokenEstimate": 1746
}