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README.md ADDED
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+ ---
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+ license: cc-by-4.0
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+ task_categories:
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+ - tabular-classification
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ tags:
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+ - substandard-falsified-medicines
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+ - medical-devices
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+ - diagnostics
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+ - RDT
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+ - COVID-19
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+ - falsified
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+ - synthetic
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+ - sub-saharan-africa
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+ pretty_name: Falsified Medical Products & Devices (SSA)
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+ size_categories:
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+ - 10K<n<100K
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+ configs:
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+ - config_name: diagnostics_rdts
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+ data_files: data/falsified_diagnostics.csv
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+ default: true
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+ - config_name: medical_devices_consumables
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+ data_files: data/falsified_devices.csv
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+ - config_name: covid_pandemic_products
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+ data_files: data/falsified_covid.csv
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+ ---
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+
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+ # Falsified Medical Products & Devices in Sub-Saharan Africa
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+
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+ ## Abstract
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+
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+ Synthetic dataset modelling falsified medical products including diagnostics, devices, and pandemic supplies across three product categories in SSA. SF medical products extend beyond medicines to RDTs, surgical supplies, PPE, and consumables; COVID-19 accelerated falsified PPE and test kits.
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+
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+ ## Parameterization Evidence
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+
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+ | Parameter | Value | Source | Year |
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+ | --- | --- | --- | --- |
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+ | SF products include diagnostics, devices, PPE | Scope | WHO | 2023 |
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+ | Falsified products trafficking increasing in Africa | Trend | PMC9461548 | 2022 |
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+ | COVID-19 accelerated falsified PPE and test kits | Pandemic | WHO alerts | 2020-22 |
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+
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+ ## Validation
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+
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+ ![Validation Report](validation_report.png)
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+
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+ ## Usage
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+
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+ ```python
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+ from datasets import load_dataset
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+ ds = load_dataset("electricsheepafrica/falsified-medical-products-devices", "diagnostics_rdts")
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## References
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+
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+ 1. WHO. Substandard and falsified medical products. 2023.
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+ 2. PMC9461548. Falsified medicines trafficking in Africa. 2022.
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+ 3. WHO Medical Product Alerts. COVID-19 related SF products. 2020-22.
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+
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+ ## Citation
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+
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+ ```bibtex
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+ @dataset{electricsheepafrica_falsified_medical_products_devices_2025,
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+ title={Falsified Medical Products and Devices in Sub-Saharan Africa},
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+ author={Electric Sheep Africa},
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+ year={2025},
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+ publisher={HuggingFace},
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+ url={https://huggingface.co/datasets/electricsheepafrica/falsified-medical-products-devices}
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+ }
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## License
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+
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+ CC-BY-4.0
data/falsified_covid.csv ADDED
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data/falsified_devices.csv ADDED
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data/falsified_diagnostics.csv ADDED
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generate_dataset.py ADDED
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+ """Generate synthetic falsified medical products & devices dataset for SSA.
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+
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+ Research-based parameterization:
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+ - WHO: SF medical products include not only medicines but also
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+ diagnostics, medical devices, PPE, and surgical supplies.
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+ - PMC9461548: Falsified products trafficking in Africa; increasing
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+ burden including devices, diagnostics, consumables.
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+ - SSA context: Falsified RDTs, condoms, surgical gloves, syringes,
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+ blood bags, and diagnostics detected; COVID-19 accelerated
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+ falsified PPE and test kits.
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+ """
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+
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+ from __future__ import annotations
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+
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+ from pathlib import Path
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+
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+ import numpy as np
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+ SEED = 42
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+ N_PER_SCENARIO = 10_000
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+
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+ YEAR_RANGE = np.arange(2010, 2025)
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+ YEAR_WEIGHTS = np.linspace(0.85, 1.3, len(YEAR_RANGE))
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+ YEAR_WEIGHTS = YEAR_WEIGHTS / YEAR_WEIGHTS.sum()
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+
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+ SCENARIOS = {
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+ "diagnostics_rdts": {
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+ "setting_probs": {"health_facility": 0.30, "pharmacy": 0.25,
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+ "community_testing": 0.25, "informal_market": 0.20},
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+ "product_probs": {"malaria_RDT": 0.25, "HIV_RDT": 0.20,
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+ "pregnancy_test": 0.15, "COVID_test": 0.15,
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+ "blood_glucose_strip": 0.10, "hepatitis_test": 0.08,
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+ "other_diagnostic": 0.07},
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+ "sf_prevalence": 0.12,
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+ "false_negative_risk": 0.15,
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+ "false_positive_risk": 0.05,
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+ "who_pq_pct": 0.30,
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+ "nmra_registered_pct": 0.50,
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+ },
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+ "medical_devices_consumables": {
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+ "setting_probs": {"hospital": 0.30, "health_centre": 0.25,
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+ "private_clinic": 0.20, "market_vendor": 0.25},
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+ "product_probs": {"surgical_gloves": 0.15, "syringes_needles": 0.15,
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+ "condoms": 0.12, "sutures": 0.10,
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+ "blood_bags": 0.08, "IV_giving_sets": 0.10,
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+ "catheters": 0.08, "surgical_masks": 0.10,
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+ "PPE_gowns": 0.07, "other_device": 0.05},
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+ "sf_prevalence": 0.18,
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+ "false_negative_risk": 0.0,
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+ "false_positive_risk": 0.0,
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+ "who_pq_pct": 0.15,
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+ "nmra_registered_pct": 0.40,
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+ },
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+ "covid_pandemic_products": {
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+ "setting_probs": {"online_seller": 0.30, "pharmacy": 0.20,
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+ "informal_market": 0.25, "border_crossing": 0.25},
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+ "product_probs": {"COVID_test_kit": 0.25, "face_mask_N95": 0.15,
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+ "surgical_mask": 0.12, "hand_sanitiser": 0.12,
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+ "PPE_gown": 0.10, "pulse_oximeter": 0.08,
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+ "thermometer": 0.08, "ventilator_parts": 0.05,
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+ "other_covid": 0.05},
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+ "sf_prevalence": 0.30,
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+ "false_negative_risk": 0.20,
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+ "false_positive_risk": 0.08,
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+ "who_pq_pct": 0.10,
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+ "nmra_registered_pct": 0.25,
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+ },
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+ }
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+
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+ SCENARIO_FILES = {
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+ "diagnostics_rdts": "falsified_diagnostics.csv",
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+ "medical_devices_consumables": "falsified_devices.csv",
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+ "covid_pandemic_products": "falsified_covid.csv",
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+ }
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+
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+
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+ def _choice(rng, prob_map):
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+ keys = list(prob_map.keys())
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+ weights = np.array(list(prob_map.values()), dtype=float)
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+ weights = weights / weights.sum()
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+ return rng.choice(keys, p=weights)
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+
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+
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+ def _simulate_scenario(name, params, seed):
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+ rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
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+ records = []
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+
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+ for idx in range(N_PER_SCENARIO):
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+ year = int(rng.choice(YEAR_RANGE, p=YEAR_WEIGHTS))
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+ setting = _choice(rng, params["setting_probs"])
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+ product = _choice(rng, params["product_probs"])
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+
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+ manufacturer_origin = rng.choice(["china", "india", "local", "europe",
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+ "unknown", "relabelled"],
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+ p=[0.30, 0.20, 0.15, 0.10, 0.15, 0.10])
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+ nmra_registered = int(rng.random() < params["nmra_registered_pct"])
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+ who_pq = int(rng.random() < params["who_pq_pct"])
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+ ce_marked = int(manufacturer_origin == "europe" or rng.random() < 0.10)
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+ lot_traceable = int(rng.random() < 0.30)
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+
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+ # Quality
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+ is_sf = int(rng.random() < params["sf_prevalence"])
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+ is_falsified = int(is_sf and rng.random() < 0.50)
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+ is_substandard = int(is_sf and not is_falsified)
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+ counterfeit_packaging = int(is_falsified and rng.random() < 0.60)
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+ expired = int(rng.random() < 0.06)
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+ sterility_failed = int(is_sf and product in ("surgical_gloves", "syringes_needles",
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+ "sutures", "blood_bags", "catheters",
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+ "IV_giving_sets") and rng.random() < 0.15)
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+ material_defect = int(is_sf and rng.random() < 0.20)
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+
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+ # Diagnostic performance (for RDTs/tests)
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+ is_diagnostic = int("RDT" in product or "test" in product or "COVID" in product
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+ or "glucose" in product or "hepatitis" in product
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+ or "pregnancy" in product)
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+ false_negative = int(is_diagnostic and is_sf and
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+ rng.random() < params["false_negative_risk"])
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+ false_positive = int(is_diagnostic and is_sf and
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+ rng.random() < params["false_positive_risk"])
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+ sensitivity_reduced = int(is_diagnostic and is_sf and rng.random() < 0.25)
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+
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+ # Health impact
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+ infection_risk = int(sterility_failed and rng.random() < 0.10)
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+ misdiagnosis = int(false_negative or false_positive)
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+ delayed_treatment = int(misdiagnosis and rng.random() < 0.50)
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+ adverse_event = int(material_defect and rng.random() < 0.08)
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+ death = int((infection_risk or delayed_treatment) and rng.random() < 0.03)
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+
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+ # Detection & enforcement
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+ visual_inspection_failed = int(is_falsified and rng.random() < 0.30)
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+ reported_to_nmra = int(is_sf and rng.random() < 0.05)
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+ recalled = int(reported_to_nmra and rng.random() < 0.20)
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+ seized_by_customs = int(setting == "border_crossing" and is_sf and rng.random() < 0.10)
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+
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+ price_usd = float(np.clip(rng.lognormal(np.log(2), 0.8), 0.10, 100))
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+ suspiciously_cheap = int(is_falsified and price_usd < 0.80)
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+
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+ any_harm = int(infection_risk or misdiagnosis or adverse_event or death)
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+
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+ record = {
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+ "record_id": f"{name[:3].upper()}-{idx:05d}",
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+ "scenario": name,
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+ "year": year,
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+ "setting": setting,
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+ "product": product,
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+ "manufacturer_origin": manufacturer_origin,
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+ "nmra_registered": nmra_registered,
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+ "who_pq": who_pq,
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+ "lot_traceable": lot_traceable,
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+ "is_substandard_falsified": is_sf,
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+ "is_falsified": is_falsified,
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+ "counterfeit_packaging": counterfeit_packaging,
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+ "expired": expired,
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+ "sterility_failed": sterility_failed,
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+ "material_defect": material_defect,
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+ "is_diagnostic": is_diagnostic,
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+ "false_negative": false_negative,
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+ "false_positive": false_positive,
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+ "sensitivity_reduced": sensitivity_reduced,
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+ "infection_risk": infection_risk,
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+ "misdiagnosis": misdiagnosis,
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+ "delayed_treatment": delayed_treatment,
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+ "adverse_event": adverse_event,
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+ "death": death,
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+ "reported_to_nmra": reported_to_nmra,
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+ "recalled": recalled,
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+ "seized_by_customs": seized_by_customs,
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+ "price_usd": round(price_usd, 2),
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+ "any_harm": any_harm,
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+ }
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+ records.append(record)
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+
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+ return pd.DataFrame(records)
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+
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+
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+ def main():
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+ output_dir = Path("data")
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+ output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
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+ for idx, (name, params) in enumerate(SCENARIOS.items()):
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+ df = _simulate_scenario(name, params, SEED + idx * 211)
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+ df.to_csv(output_dir / SCENARIO_FILES[name], index=False)
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+ print(f"Saved {name} -> {SCENARIO_FILES[name]}")
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+
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+
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+ if __name__ == "__main__":
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+ main()
requirements.txt ADDED
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+ numpy>=1.24
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+ pandas>=2.0
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+ matplotlib>=3.7
validate_dataset.py ADDED
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+ """Validate synthetic falsified medical products & devices dataset."""
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+
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+ from __future__ import annotations
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+
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+ from pathlib import Path
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+
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+ import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+ SCENARIO_FILES = {
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+ "diagnostics_rdts": "falsified_diagnostics.csv",
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+ "medical_devices_consumables": "falsified_devices.csv",
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+ "covid_pandemic_products": "falsified_covid.csv",
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+ }
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+
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+ COLORS = {"diagnostics_rdts": "#e6550d", "medical_devices_consumables": "#756bb1", "covid_pandemic_products": "#31a354"}
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+
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+
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+ def load_data() -> pd.DataFrame:
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+ frames = []
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+ for scenario, filename in SCENARIO_FILES.items():
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+ df = pd.read_csv(Path("data") / filename)
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+ frames.append(df)
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+ return pd.concat(frames, ignore_index=True)
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+
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+
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+ def plot_validation(df: pd.DataFrame, output_path: Path) -> None:
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+ fig, axes = plt.subplots(4, 2, figsize=(14, 16))
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+ axes = axes.flatten()
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+
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+ sf_cols = ["is_substandard_falsified", "is_falsified", "counterfeit_packaging"]
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+ sf = df.groupby("scenario")[sf_cols].mean() * 100
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+ sf.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[0])
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+ axes[0].set_title("SF Prevalence (%)")
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+ axes[0].legend(fontsize=7)
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+
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+ prod = df.groupby(["scenario", "product"]).size().groupby(level=0).apply(lambda s: s / s.sum())
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+ prod.unstack().plot(kind="bar", stacked=True, ax=axes[1])
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+ axes[1].set_title("Product Distribution")
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+ axes[1].legend(fontsize=4)
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+
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+ diag_cols = ["false_negative", "false_positive", "sensitivity_reduced", "misdiagnosis"]
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+ diag = df.groupby("scenario")[diag_cols].mean() * 100
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+ diag.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[2])
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+ axes[2].set_title("Diagnostic Performance Issues (%)")
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+ axes[2].legend(fontsize=6)
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+
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+ harm_cols = ["infection_risk", "delayed_treatment", "adverse_event", "death"]
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+ harm = df.groupby("scenario")[harm_cols].mean() * 100
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+ harm.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[3])
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+ axes[3].set_title("Health Impact (%)")
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+ axes[3].legend(fontsize=7)
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+
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+ qa_cols = ["sterility_failed", "material_defect", "expired"]
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+ qa = df.groupby("scenario")[qa_cols].mean() * 100
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+ qa.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[4])
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+ axes[4].set_title("Quality Defects (%)")
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+ axes[4].legend(fontsize=7)
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+
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+ reg_cols = ["nmra_registered", "who_pq", "lot_traceable"]
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+ reg = df.groupby("scenario")[reg_cols].mean() * 100
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+ reg.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[5])
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+ axes[5].set_title("Registration & Traceability (%)")
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+ axes[5].legend(fontsize=7)
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+
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+ orig = df.groupby(["scenario", "manufacturer_origin"]).size().groupby(level=0).apply(lambda s: s / s.sum())
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+ orig.unstack().plot(kind="bar", stacked=True, ax=axes[6])
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+ axes[6].set_title("Manufacturer Origin")
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+ axes[6].legend(fontsize=5)
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+
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+ enf_cols = ["reported_to_nmra", "recalled", "seized_by_customs"]
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+ enf = df.groupby("scenario")[enf_cols].mean() * 100
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+ enf.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[7])
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+ axes[7].set_title("Enforcement Actions (%)")
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+ axes[7].legend(fontsize=7)
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+
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+ plt.tight_layout()
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+ fig.savefig(output_path, dpi=200)
79
+ plt.close(fig)
80
+
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+
82
+ def main() -> None:
83
+ df = load_data()
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+ plot_validation(df, Path("validation_report.png"))
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+ print("Saved validation_report.png")
86
+
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+
88
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
89
+ main()
validation_report.png ADDED

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