diff --git "a/combined_coding_expert_analysis.html" "b/combined_coding_expert_analysis.html" new file mode 100644--- /dev/null +++ "b/combined_coding_expert_analysis.html" @@ -0,0 +1,1489 @@ + + + + +Combined Coding Expert Saliency Analysis + + + + +

Combined Coding Expert Saliency Analysis

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This joins the SciCode MVP trace set with the full Terminal-Bench Hard real-agent trace run. Importance is the same observational router/contribution proxy used in the individual reports. It is a residency candidate signal, not a causal proof that offloading the other experts preserves quality.

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+Residency read: the combined top 64 experts, exactly 25% of 256, capture 57.6% of SciCode importance and 44.1% of Terminal-Bench importance. The combined top 77 experts, roughly 30%, capture 63.5% and 50.4%, respectively. +
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Run Summary

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metricvalue
SciCode questions/attempts291
Terminal-Bench attempts132
SciCode traced activations76,604,880
Terminal-Bench traced activations539,228,224
Expert importance Pearson0.221
Expert importance Spearman0.308
Layer-expert importance Pearson0.330
Combined top 64 captures SciCode / Terminal57.6% / 44.1%
Combined top 77 captures SciCode / Terminal63.5% / 50.4%
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Cross-Test Correlation

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Residency Coverage

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Layer-Expert Shared Importance

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Combined Expert Ranking

+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
expert_idmean_importance_rankscicode_importance_score_rankterminal_importance_score_rankmean_importance_sharemin_importance_sharescicode_importance_score_shareterminal_importance_score_sharescicode_activation_count_shareterminal_activation_count_shareimportance_share_delta
10312211.80%1.03%1.03%2.57%0.42%0.46%1.54%
20921361.46%0.62%2.30%0.62%0.68%0.42%-1.67%
13431541.40%1.17%1.17%1.63%0.76%0.59%0.46%
6446171.24%0.90%1.58%0.90%0.79%0.48%-0.68%
3354021.24%0.71%0.71%1.76%0.28%0.47%1.05%
31621001.23%0.36%2.10%0.36%0.61%0.33%-1.74%
15073651.17%0.73%0.73%1.61%0.32%0.36%0.89%
1684731.16%0.64%0.64%1.68%0.24%0.42%1.04%
11792071.16%1.07%1.07%1.24%0.78%0.63%0.17%
2211031971.14%0.20%2.09%0.20%0.62%0.29%-1.89%
118118341.09%0.65%1.52%0.65%0.71%0.39%-0.87%
1301251821.05%0.23%1.86%0.23%0.91%0.37%-1.64%
2301342061.03%0.17%1.89%0.17%0.40%0.34%-1.72%
11426180.91%0.87%0.94%0.87%0.71%0.55%-0.07%
1691510850.90%0.39%1.41%0.39%0.38%0.49%-1.02%
14165890.89%0.59%0.59%1.19%0.37%0.39%0.60%
741754120.88%0.62%0.62%1.14%0.46%0.54%0.52%
1401813660.86%0.44%1.28%0.44%0.49%0.48%-0.85%
2021964110.85%0.54%0.54%1.17%0.53%0.55%0.63%
902091530.85%0.28%1.42%0.28%0.75%0.40%-1.14%
522172120.85%0.16%1.54%0.16%0.38%0.32%-1.38%
1662230220.85%0.79%0.90%0.79%0.62%0.46%-0.11%
732314830.83%0.39%1.27%0.39%0.53%0.40%-0.88%
20124111140.82%0.34%1.31%0.34%0.63%0.42%-0.97%
2332516260.80%0.16%0.16%1.44%0.44%0.62%1.28%
1462616690.80%0.43%1.17%0.43%0.35%0.35%-0.74%
12127121510.79%0.28%1.29%0.28%0.71%0.39%-1.01%
9628171070.76%0.35%1.16%0.35%0.38%0.40%-0.82%
2512918880.74%0.38%1.11%0.38%0.67%0.40%-0.73%
533029410.74%0.58%0.90%0.58%0.66%0.43%-0.33%
1983146240.72%0.68%0.68%0.77%0.60%0.52%0.09%
1333253210.72%0.62%0.62%0.83%0.50%0.49%0.21%
22633191030.72%0.35%1.09%0.35%0.71%0.36%-0.74%
1583471140.71%0.49%0.49%0.94%0.37%0.43%0.45%
1603537290.71%0.70%0.72%0.70%0.56%0.52%-0.01%
1753644270.70%0.69%0.69%0.71%0.46%0.45%0.01%
7837241060.67%0.35%1.00%0.35%0.48%0.37%-0.65%
1993828710.67%0.42%0.91%0.42%0.30%0.31%-0.49%
223918280.66%0.13%0.13%1.20%0.38%0.59%1.07%
574031630.66%0.45%0.87%0.45%0.35%0.41%-0.42%
25441175100.65%0.14%0.14%1.17%0.35%0.38%1.03%
22742251230.65%0.32%0.97%0.32%0.37%0.38%-0.65%
10243211950.62%0.20%1.05%0.20%0.47%0.31%-0.85%
8944271250.61%0.32%0.91%0.32%0.39%0.42%-0.60%
584542520.61%0.51%0.71%0.51%0.57%0.49%-0.20%
124632870.60%0.39%0.82%0.39%0.55%0.46%-0.43%
1924791200.60%0.36%0.36%0.83%0.35%0.38%0.47%
724835790.59%0.40%0.77%0.40%0.64%0.55%-0.37%
16249232190.58%0.14%1.01%0.14%0.54%0.32%-0.87%
915049570.56%0.49%0.64%0.49%0.35%0.46%-0.15%
155143750.56%0.42%0.70%0.42%0.61%0.46%-0.29%
7552331160.56%0.33%0.78%0.33%0.61%0.35%-0.45%
11053103230.55%0.31%0.31%0.79%0.23%0.32%0.48%
1515456540.55%0.50%0.60%0.50%0.68%0.48%-0.10%
595589260.55%0.37%0.37%0.72%0.39%0.45%0.35%
14556100250.54%0.33%0.33%0.76%0.32%0.60%0.43%
665783310.54%0.40%0.40%0.69%0.52%0.45%0.29%
1765841920.54%0.37%0.71%0.37%0.53%0.39%-0.33%
17159184130.54%0.13%0.13%0.95%0.30%0.35%0.82%
7660341430.54%0.29%0.78%0.29%0.43%0.34%-0.49%
861188150.53%0.12%0.12%0.94%0.26%0.44%0.82%
1656282380.51%0.41%0.41%0.62%0.44%0.56%0.21%
1063102320.50%0.32%0.32%0.69%0.45%0.47%0.37%
12464391490.50%0.29%0.71%0.29%0.61%0.38%-0.42%
11565104330.49%0.31%0.31%0.68%0.43%0.46%0.37%
456655940.49%0.37%0.61%0.37%0.54%0.42%-0.24%
21067481100.49%0.34%0.64%0.34%0.54%0.40%-0.29%
17968521020.49%0.35%0.62%0.35%0.50%0.37%-0.27%
14269244160.48%0.05%0.05%0.91%0.25%0.44%0.87%
570200190.48%0.11%0.11%0.85%0.23%0.33%0.74%
8371591050.47%0.35%0.59%0.35%0.65%0.39%-0.24%
22372106350.46%0.30%0.30%0.63%0.32%0.46%0.33%
5073451730.46%0.24%0.68%0.24%0.64%0.39%-0.44%
1867466810.46%0.40%0.52%0.40%0.43%0.45%-0.12%
1087585470.46%0.39%0.39%0.53%0.52%0.42%0.14%
3576511450.46%0.29%0.63%0.29%0.47%0.43%-0.34%
857763950.45%0.37%0.54%0.37%0.61%0.42%-0.17%
07865980.44%0.36%0.52%0.36%0.54%0.41%-0.17%
237975780.44%0.41%0.46%0.41%0.59%0.46%-0.06%
1228086590.44%0.39%0.39%0.48%0.32%0.35%0.09%
308180730.43%0.42%0.44%0.42%0.48%0.39%-0.02%
20782701110.42%0.34%0.50%0.34%0.34%0.45%-0.15%
24083114440.42%0.28%0.28%0.55%0.46%0.48%0.27%
818479820.42%0.39%0.44%0.39%0.42%0.54%-0.05%
21285117430.42%0.27%0.27%0.56%0.43%0.47%0.29%
9586721040.42%0.35%0.48%0.35%0.54%0.44%-0.13%
17287187300.41%0.12%0.12%0.70%0.35%0.48%0.57%
15788621640.41%0.26%0.56%0.26%0.48%0.36%-0.30%
11689107510.41%0.30%0.30%0.52%0.48%0.54%0.22%
18790502030.41%0.18%0.63%0.18%0.46%0.34%-0.45%
391681410.40%0.29%0.51%0.29%0.46%0.36%-0.22%
12692382490.40%0.08%0.72%0.08%0.44%0.29%-0.63%
18393611840.39%0.22%0.56%0.22%0.52%0.43%-0.34%
21694146400.39%0.19%0.19%0.58%0.24%0.35%0.39%
20095142420.39%0.20%0.20%0.57%0.28%0.31%0.37%
24896602010.39%0.19%0.58%0.19%0.51%0.39%-0.39%
12797169370.39%0.15%0.15%0.62%0.31%0.49%0.47%
25298125490.38%0.24%0.24%0.52%0.38%0.45%0.28%
259992800.38%0.36%0.36%0.40%0.43%0.34%0.05%
250100138450.38%0.21%0.21%0.54%0.36%0.56%0.33%
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Top-N Overlap

+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
cohortscicode_nterminal_bench_nintersection_nunion_njaccardscicode_containmentterminal_bench_containment
top20_importance20203378.11%15.00%15.00%
top50_importance5050158517.65%30.00%30.00%
top64_importance64642310521.90%35.94%35.94%
top77_importance77772812622.22%36.36%36.36%
top80_importance80803112924.03%38.75%38.75%
top128_importance1281287817843.82%60.94%60.94%
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Candidate Sets

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Top 64 By Mean Importance

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[103, 209, 134, 64, 33, 31, 150, 16, 117, 221, 118, 130, 230, 1, 169, 14, 74, 140, 202, 90, 52, 166, 73, 201, 233, 146, 121, 96, 251, 53, 198, 133, 226, 158, 160, 175, 78, 199, 22, 57, 254, 227, 102, 89, 58, 12, 192, 72, 162, 91, 15, 75, 110, 151, 59, 145, 66, 176, 171, 76, 8, 165, 10, 124]

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Top 77 By Mean Importance

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[103, 209, 134, 64, 33, 31, 150, 16, 117, 221, 118, 130, 230, 1, 169, 14, 74, 140, 202, 90, 52, 166, 73, 201, 233, 146, 121, 96, 251, 53, 198, 133, 226, 158, 160, 175, 78, 199, 22, 57, 254, 227, 102, 89, 58, 12, 192, 72, 162, 91, 15, 75, 110, 151, 59, 145, 66, 176, 171, 76, 8, 165, 10, 124, 115, 45, 210, 179, 142, 5, 83, 223, 50, 186, 108, 35, 85]

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