Combined Coding Expert Saliency Analysis

This joins the SciCode MVP trace set with the full Terminal-Bench Hard real-agent trace run. Importance is the same observational router/contribution proxy used in the individual reports. It is a residency candidate signal, not a causal proof that offloading the other experts preserves quality.

Residency read: the combined top 64 experts, exactly 25% of 256, capture 57.6% of SciCode importance and 44.1% of Terminal-Bench importance. The combined top 77 experts, roughly 30%, capture 63.5% and 50.4%, respectively.

Run Summary

metric value
SciCode questions/attempts 291
Terminal-Bench attempts 132
SciCode traced activations 76,604,880
Terminal-Bench traced activations 539,228,224
Expert importance Pearson 0.221
Expert importance Spearman 0.308
Layer-expert importance Pearson 0.330
Combined top 64 captures SciCode / Terminal 57.6% / 44.1%
Combined top 77 captures SciCode / Terminal 63.5% / 50.4%

Cross-Test Correlation

Residency Coverage

Layer-Expert Shared Importance

Combined Expert Ranking

expert_id mean_importance_rank scicode_importance_score_rank terminal_importance_score_rank mean_importance_share min_importance_share scicode_importance_score_share terminal_importance_score_share scicode_activation_count_share terminal_activation_count_share importance_share_delta
103 1 22 1 1.80% 1.03% 1.03% 2.57% 0.42% 0.46% 1.54%
209 2 1 36 1.46% 0.62% 2.30% 0.62% 0.68% 0.42% -1.67%
134 3 15 4 1.40% 1.17% 1.17% 1.63% 0.76% 0.59% 0.46%
64 4 6 17 1.24% 0.90% 1.58% 0.90% 0.79% 0.48% -0.68%
33 5 40 2 1.24% 0.71% 0.71% 1.76% 0.28% 0.47% 1.05%
31 6 2 100 1.23% 0.36% 2.10% 0.36% 0.61% 0.33% -1.74%
150 7 36 5 1.17% 0.73% 0.73% 1.61% 0.32% 0.36% 0.89%
16 8 47 3 1.16% 0.64% 0.64% 1.68% 0.24% 0.42% 1.04%
117 9 20 7 1.16% 1.07% 1.07% 1.24% 0.78% 0.63% 0.17%
221 10 3 197 1.14% 0.20% 2.09% 0.20% 0.62% 0.29% -1.89%
118 11 8 34 1.09% 0.65% 1.52% 0.65% 0.71% 0.39% -0.87%
130 12 5 182 1.05% 0.23% 1.86% 0.23% 0.91% 0.37% -1.64%
230 13 4 206 1.03% 0.17% 1.89% 0.17% 0.40% 0.34% -1.72%
1 14 26 18 0.91% 0.87% 0.94% 0.87% 0.71% 0.55% -0.07%
169 15 10 85 0.90% 0.39% 1.41% 0.39% 0.38% 0.49% -1.02%
14 16 58 9 0.89% 0.59% 0.59% 1.19% 0.37% 0.39% 0.60%
74 17 54 12 0.88% 0.62% 0.62% 1.14% 0.46% 0.54% 0.52%
140 18 13 66 0.86% 0.44% 1.28% 0.44% 0.49% 0.48% -0.85%
202 19 64 11 0.85% 0.54% 0.54% 1.17% 0.53% 0.55% 0.63%
90 20 9 153 0.85% 0.28% 1.42% 0.28% 0.75% 0.40% -1.14%
52 21 7 212 0.85% 0.16% 1.54% 0.16% 0.38% 0.32% -1.38%
166 22 30 22 0.85% 0.79% 0.90% 0.79% 0.62% 0.46% -0.11%
73 23 14 83 0.83% 0.39% 1.27% 0.39% 0.53% 0.40% -0.88%
201 24 11 114 0.82% 0.34% 1.31% 0.34% 0.63% 0.42% -0.97%
233 25 162 6 0.80% 0.16% 0.16% 1.44% 0.44% 0.62% 1.28%
146 26 16 69 0.80% 0.43% 1.17% 0.43% 0.35% 0.35% -0.74%
121 27 12 151 0.79% 0.28% 1.29% 0.28% 0.71% 0.39% -1.01%
96 28 17 107 0.76% 0.35% 1.16% 0.35% 0.38% 0.40% -0.82%
251 29 18 88 0.74% 0.38% 1.11% 0.38% 0.67% 0.40% -0.73%
53 30 29 41 0.74% 0.58% 0.90% 0.58% 0.66% 0.43% -0.33%
198 31 46 24 0.72% 0.68% 0.68% 0.77% 0.60% 0.52% 0.09%
133 32 53 21 0.72% 0.62% 0.62% 0.83% 0.50% 0.49% 0.21%
226 33 19 103 0.72% 0.35% 1.09% 0.35% 0.71% 0.36% -0.74%
158 34 71 14 0.71% 0.49% 0.49% 0.94% 0.37% 0.43% 0.45%
160 35 37 29 0.71% 0.70% 0.72% 0.70% 0.56% 0.52% -0.01%
175 36 44 27 0.70% 0.69% 0.69% 0.71% 0.46% 0.45% 0.01%
78 37 24 106 0.67% 0.35% 1.00% 0.35% 0.48% 0.37% -0.65%
199 38 28 71 0.67% 0.42% 0.91% 0.42% 0.30% 0.31% -0.49%
22 39 182 8 0.66% 0.13% 0.13% 1.20% 0.38% 0.59% 1.07%
57 40 31 63 0.66% 0.45% 0.87% 0.45% 0.35% 0.41% -0.42%
254 41 175 10 0.65% 0.14% 0.14% 1.17% 0.35% 0.38% 1.03%
227 42 25 123 0.65% 0.32% 0.97% 0.32% 0.37% 0.38% -0.65%
102 43 21 195 0.62% 0.20% 1.05% 0.20% 0.47% 0.31% -0.85%
89 44 27 125 0.61% 0.32% 0.91% 0.32% 0.39% 0.42% -0.60%
58 45 42 52 0.61% 0.51% 0.71% 0.51% 0.57% 0.49% -0.20%
12 46 32 87 0.60% 0.39% 0.82% 0.39% 0.55% 0.46% -0.43%
192 47 91 20 0.60% 0.36% 0.36% 0.83% 0.35% 0.38% 0.47%
72 48 35 79 0.59% 0.40% 0.77% 0.40% 0.64% 0.55% -0.37%
162 49 23 219 0.58% 0.14% 1.01% 0.14% 0.54% 0.32% -0.87%
91 50 49 57 0.56% 0.49% 0.64% 0.49% 0.35% 0.46% -0.15%
15 51 43 75 0.56% 0.42% 0.70% 0.42% 0.61% 0.46% -0.29%
75 52 33 116 0.56% 0.33% 0.78% 0.33% 0.61% 0.35% -0.45%
110 53 103 23 0.55% 0.31% 0.31% 0.79% 0.23% 0.32% 0.48%
151 54 56 54 0.55% 0.50% 0.60% 0.50% 0.68% 0.48% -0.10%
59 55 89 26 0.55% 0.37% 0.37% 0.72% 0.39% 0.45% 0.35%
145 56 100 25 0.54% 0.33% 0.33% 0.76% 0.32% 0.60% 0.43%
66 57 83 31 0.54% 0.40% 0.40% 0.69% 0.52% 0.45% 0.29%
176 58 41 92 0.54% 0.37% 0.71% 0.37% 0.53% 0.39% -0.33%
171 59 184 13 0.54% 0.13% 0.13% 0.95% 0.30% 0.35% 0.82%
76 60 34 143 0.54% 0.29% 0.78% 0.29% 0.43% 0.34% -0.49%
8 61 188 15 0.53% 0.12% 0.12% 0.94% 0.26% 0.44% 0.82%
165 62 82 38 0.51% 0.41% 0.41% 0.62% 0.44% 0.56% 0.21%
10 63 102 32 0.50% 0.32% 0.32% 0.69% 0.45% 0.47% 0.37%
124 64 39 149 0.50% 0.29% 0.71% 0.29% 0.61% 0.38% -0.42%
115 65 104 33 0.49% 0.31% 0.31% 0.68% 0.43% 0.46% 0.37%
45 66 55 94 0.49% 0.37% 0.61% 0.37% 0.54% 0.42% -0.24%
210 67 48 110 0.49% 0.34% 0.64% 0.34% 0.54% 0.40% -0.29%
179 68 52 102 0.49% 0.35% 0.62% 0.35% 0.50% 0.37% -0.27%
142 69 244 16 0.48% 0.05% 0.05% 0.91% 0.25% 0.44% 0.87%
5 70 200 19 0.48% 0.11% 0.11% 0.85% 0.23% 0.33% 0.74%
83 71 59 105 0.47% 0.35% 0.59% 0.35% 0.65% 0.39% -0.24%
223 72 106 35 0.46% 0.30% 0.30% 0.63% 0.32% 0.46% 0.33%
50 73 45 173 0.46% 0.24% 0.68% 0.24% 0.64% 0.39% -0.44%
186 74 66 81 0.46% 0.40% 0.52% 0.40% 0.43% 0.45% -0.12%
108 75 85 47 0.46% 0.39% 0.39% 0.53% 0.52% 0.42% 0.14%
35 76 51 145 0.46% 0.29% 0.63% 0.29% 0.47% 0.43% -0.34%
85 77 63 95 0.45% 0.37% 0.54% 0.37% 0.61% 0.42% -0.17%
0 78 65 98 0.44% 0.36% 0.52% 0.36% 0.54% 0.41% -0.17%
23 79 75 78 0.44% 0.41% 0.46% 0.41% 0.59% 0.46% -0.06%
122 80 86 59 0.44% 0.39% 0.39% 0.48% 0.32% 0.35% 0.09%
30 81 80 73 0.43% 0.42% 0.44% 0.42% 0.48% 0.39% -0.02%
207 82 70 111 0.42% 0.34% 0.50% 0.34% 0.34% 0.45% -0.15%
240 83 114 44 0.42% 0.28% 0.28% 0.55% 0.46% 0.48% 0.27%
81 84 79 82 0.42% 0.39% 0.44% 0.39% 0.42% 0.54% -0.05%
212 85 117 43 0.42% 0.27% 0.27% 0.56% 0.43% 0.47% 0.29%
95 86 72 104 0.42% 0.35% 0.48% 0.35% 0.54% 0.44% -0.13%
172 87 187 30 0.41% 0.12% 0.12% 0.70% 0.35% 0.48% 0.57%
157 88 62 164 0.41% 0.26% 0.56% 0.26% 0.48% 0.36% -0.30%
116 89 107 51 0.41% 0.30% 0.30% 0.52% 0.48% 0.54% 0.22%
187 90 50 203 0.41% 0.18% 0.63% 0.18% 0.46% 0.34% -0.45%
3 91 68 141 0.40% 0.29% 0.51% 0.29% 0.46% 0.36% -0.22%
126 92 38 249 0.40% 0.08% 0.72% 0.08% 0.44% 0.29% -0.63%
183 93 61 184 0.39% 0.22% 0.56% 0.22% 0.52% 0.43% -0.34%
216 94 146 40 0.39% 0.19% 0.19% 0.58% 0.24% 0.35% 0.39%
200 95 142 42 0.39% 0.20% 0.20% 0.57% 0.28% 0.31% 0.37%
248 96 60 201 0.39% 0.19% 0.58% 0.19% 0.51% 0.39% -0.39%
127 97 169 37 0.39% 0.15% 0.15% 0.62% 0.31% 0.49% 0.47%
252 98 125 49 0.38% 0.24% 0.24% 0.52% 0.38% 0.45% 0.28%
25 99 92 80 0.38% 0.36% 0.36% 0.40% 0.43% 0.34% 0.05%
250 100 138 45 0.38% 0.21% 0.21% 0.54% 0.36% 0.56% 0.33%

Top-N Overlap

cohort scicode_n terminal_bench_n intersection_n union_n jaccard scicode_containment terminal_bench_containment
top20_importance 20 20 3 37 8.11% 15.00% 15.00%
top50_importance 50 50 15 85 17.65% 30.00% 30.00%
top64_importance 64 64 23 105 21.90% 35.94% 35.94%
top77_importance 77 77 28 126 22.22% 36.36% 36.36%
top80_importance 80 80 31 129 24.03% 38.75% 38.75%
top128_importance 128 128 78 178 43.82% 60.94% 60.94%

Candidate Sets

Top 64 By Mean Importance

[103, 209, 134, 64, 33, 31, 150, 16, 117, 221, 118, 130, 230, 1, 169, 14, 74, 140, 202, 90, 52, 166, 73, 201, 233, 146, 121, 96, 251, 53, 198, 133, 226, 158, 160, 175, 78, 199, 22, 57, 254, 227, 102, 89, 58, 12, 192, 72, 162, 91, 15, 75, 110, 151, 59, 145, 66, 176, 171, 76, 8, 165, 10, 124]

Top 77 By Mean Importance

[103, 209, 134, 64, 33, 31, 150, 16, 117, 221, 118, 130, 230, 1, 169, 14, 74, 140, 202, 90, 52, 166, 73, 201, 233, 146, 121, 96, 251, 53, 198, 133, 226, 158, 160, 175, 78, 199, 22, 57, 254, 227, 102, 89, 58, 12, 192, 72, 162, 91, 15, 75, 110, 151, 59, 145, 66, 176, 171, 76, 8, 165, 10, 124, 115, 45, 210, 179, 142, 5, 83, 223, 50, 186, 108, 35, 85]