File size: 1,511 Bytes
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"target": "demand",
"country_code": "NL",
"zone_key": "NL",
"model_name": "lightgbm-quantile",
"model_version": "20260820180933",
"feature_names": [
"hour",
"quarter",
"day_of_week",
"day_of_year",
"month",
"is_weekend",
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"is_morning_peak",
"is_evening_peak",
"sin_hour",
"cos_hour",
"sin_day_of_week",
"cos_day_of_week",
"sin_day_of_year",
"cos_day_of_year",
"lag_1h",
"lag_2h",
"lag_3h",
"lag_4h",
"lag_24h",
"lag_48h",
"lag_7d",
"lag_14d",
"diff_1h",
"diff_2h",
"diff_24h",
"diff_7d",
"acceleration_1h",
"ema_4step",
"ema_12step",
"rolling_std_4step",
"rolling_mean_24h",
"rolling_std_24h",
"rolling_min_24h",
"rolling_max_24h",
"rolling_mean_7d",
"rolling_std_7d"
],
"n_estimators": 180,
"learning_rate": 0.04,
"num_leaves": 31,
"training_rows": 99380,
"start_year": 2023,
"end_year": 2026,
"metrics": {
"mae": 228.8369113435931,
"rmse": 760.6798309337345,
"wape": 0.016802358270333835,
"pinball_p10": 147.6788275273391,
"pinball_p90": 54.65633858613622,
"interval_coverage": 0.7244405087747545,
"winkler_score": 2023.3516611347532,
"mape": 3.8506640888814605
},
"baseline_mae": 1655.3946271936886,
"calibrator": {
"is_fitted": true,
"q_correction": -3.0787313982800697,
"target_coverage": 0.8
}
} |