{
  "bundle_version": "zeno-inference/1.0.0",
  "model_version": "0.7.0",
  "arch_version": "surprise-arch/0.5.0",
  "sequence_steps": 12,
  "sequence_version": "surprise-sequence/0.4.0",
  "feature_version": "surprise-features/0.4.0",
  "order": [
    "select declared features in feature_names order",
    "zero the columns listed in degenerate_zeroed",
    "clamp((x - mu) / sd, -clip, +clip)",
    "stack the last sequence_steps rows as the causal window",
    "trunk -> per-domain head -> sigmoid",
    "apply the per-target calibration spec",
    "abstain when the gate probability is below abstention_threshold"
  ],
  "promoted_domains": [
    "climate",
    "hydrology"
  ],
  "domains": {
    "seismic": {
      "schema": {
        "domain_id": "seismic",
        "version": "0.3.0",
        "categories": [
          "micro_shallow",
          "light_shallow",
          "moderate_shallow",
          "strong_event",
          "intermediate_depth",
          "deep_focus",
          "quarry_blast",
          "other_event",
          "unknown"
        ],
        "family_map": {
          "micro_shallow": "shallow",
          "light_shallow": "shallow",
          "moderate_shallow": "shallow",
          "strong_event": "energetic",
          "intermediate_depth": "deep",
          "deep_focus": "deep",
          "quarry_blast": "anthropogenic",
          "other_event": "other",
          "unknown": "unknown"
        },
        "channels": [
          {
            "name": "magnitude",
            "log_scale": false,
            "unit": "Mw-equivalent"
          },
          {
            "name": "depth_km",
            "log_scale": false,
            "unit": "km"
          },
          {
            "name": "azimuthal_gap",
            "log_scale": false,
            "unit": "degrees"
          },
          {
            "name": "rms_residual",
            "log_scale": false,
            "unit": "s"
          }
        ],
        "targets": [
          {
            "name": "event_regime_transition",
            "kind": "category_transition",
            "horizon": 4,
            "support": 8,
            "params": {}
          },
          {
            "name": "cadence_shift",
            "kind": "cadence_shift",
            "horizon": 4,
            "support": 8,
            "params": {
              "factor": 2.0
            }
          },
          {
            "name": "magnitude_regime_shift",
            "kind": "magnitude_shift",
            "horizon": 6,
            "support": 10,
            "params": {
              "channel": "magnitude",
              "shift": 0.4
            }
          },
          {
            "name": "significant_event_ahead",
            "kind": "threshold_crossing",
            "horizon": 6,
            "support": 10,
            "params": {
              "channel": "magnitude",
              "level": 4.5,
              "direction": "above"
            }
          },
          {
            "name": "compound_seismic_stress",
            "kind": "compound",
            "horizon": 6,
            "support": 10,
            "params": {
              "over": [
                "cadence_shift",
                "magnitude_regime_shift",
                "significant_event_ahead"
              ],
              "k": 2
            }
          }
        ],
        "context_dims": [
          "network",
          "magnitude_type",
          "depth_class"
        ],
        "entity_kind": "opaque_spatial_cell",
        "description": "Public USGS seismic event catalogue: magnitudes, depths, solution quality and inter-event cadence per opaque 2-degree spatial cell."
      },
      "schema_hash": "8753db3bb6f6ca11",
      "promoted": false,
      "gate_status": "candidate_not_promoted",
      "gate_statement": "Not promoted. Published as a candidate with its blocking reasons attached; the frozen released checkpoint remains the recommended one.",
      "blocking_reasons": [
        "only 0 target(s) beat a plain logistic regression on the same features with a CI excluding zero \u2014 the learned representation is not yet doing work the baseline cannot",
        "3 head(s) sit within 0.005 AUROC of chance (event_regime_transition, significant_event_ahead, compound_seismic_stress) \u2014 a collapsed head is a defect and blocks promotion",
        "worst-target ECE 0.793 exceeds bound"
      ],
      "feature_names": [
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        "gap_ratio_median",
        "log_median_gap",
        "gap_cv",
        "log_gap_prev",
        "log_magnitude_last",
        "magnitude_ratio_median",
        "log_median_magnitude",
        "magnitude_logsd",
        "magnitude_available",
        "magnitude_missing_rate",
        "log_depth_km_last",
        "depth_km_ratio_median",
        "log_median_depth_km",
        "depth_km_logsd",
        "depth_km_available",
        "depth_km_missing_rate",
        "log_azimuthal_gap_last",
        "azimuthal_gap_ratio_median",
        "log_median_azimuthal_gap",
        "azimuthal_gap_logsd",
        "azimuthal_gap_available",
        "azimuthal_gap_missing_rate",
        "log_rms_residual_last",
        "rms_residual_ratio_median",
        "log_median_rms_residual",
        "rms_residual_logsd",
        "rms_residual_available",
        "rms_residual_missing_rate",
        "reference_missing_rate",
        "cat_last__micro_shallow",
        "cat_last__light_shallow",
        "cat_last__moderate_shallow",
        "cat_last__strong_event",
        "cat_last__intermediate_depth",
        "cat_last__deep_focus",
        "cat_last__quarry_blast",
        "cat_last__other_event",
        "cat_last__unknown",
        "cat_rate__micro_shallow",
        "cat_rate__light_shallow",
        "cat_rate__moderate_shallow",
        "cat_rate__strong_event",
        "cat_rate__intermediate_depth",
        "cat_rate__deep_focus",
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        "cat_rate__unknown",
        "cat_entropy",
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        "cat_switch_rate",
        "source_count_last",
        "source_count_mean",
        "log_confirmations",
        "contradiction_rate",
        "ref_resid_gap",
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        "ref_disagreement",
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        "magnitude_ratio_median_long",
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        "depth_km_ratio_median_short",
        "depth_km_ratio_median_long",
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        "azimuthal_gap_median_short_over_long",
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        "rms_residual_ratio_median_long",
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        "context_dims": [
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        "2 head(s) sit within 0.005 AUROC of chance (level_regime_shift, compound_macro_stress) \u2014 a collapsed head is a defect and blocks promotion",
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    },
    "wildfire": {
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          },
          {
            "name": "escalation_ahead",
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              "level": 2.0,
              "direction": "above"
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            "name": "compound_fire_stress",
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        ],
        "context_dims": [
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        "entity_kind": "opaque_spatial_cell",
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      "schema_hash": "eb9e09646761bb3e",
      "promoted": false,
      "gate_status": "candidate_not_promoted",
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        "only 0 target(s) beat a plain logistic regression on the same features with a CI excluding zero \u2014 the learned representation is not yet doing work the baseline cannot",
        "6 head(s) sit within 0.005 AUROC of chance (fire_regime_transition, cadence_shift, frp_regime_shift, cluster_expansion, escalation_ahead, compound_fire_stress) \u2014 a collapsed head is a defect and blocks promotion",
        "worst-target ECE 0.950 exceeds bound"
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        "frp_mw_missing_rate",
        "log_brightness_k_last",
        "brightness_k_ratio_median",
        "log_median_brightness_k",
        "brightness_k_logsd",
        "brightness_k_available",
        "brightness_k_missing_rate",
        "log_detections_last",
        "detections_ratio_median",
        "log_median_detections",
        "detections_logsd",
        "detections_available",
        "detections_missing_rate",
        "log_frp_growth_last",
        "frp_growth_ratio_median",
        "log_median_frp_growth",
        "frp_growth_logsd",
        "frp_growth_available",
        "frp_growth_missing_rate",
        "reference_missing_rate",
        "cat_last__sparse_detection",
        "cat_last__cluster_forming",
        "cat_last__active_front",
        "cat_last__intense_front",
        "cat_last__extreme_front",
        "cat_last__night_detection",
        "cat_last__low_confidence",
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        "cat_rate__sparse_detection",
        "cat_rate__cluster_forming",
        "cat_rate__active_front",
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        "cat_rate__extreme_front",
        "cat_rate__night_detection",
        "cat_rate__low_confidence",
        "cat_rate__unknown",
        "cat_entropy",
        "unknown_cat_rate",
        "cat_switch_rate",
        "source_count_last",
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        "log_confirmations",
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        "ref_resid_category",
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        "ref_avail_gap",
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        "gap_trend",
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        "log_n_past",
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        "gap_cv_long",
        "gap_median_short_over_long",
        "frp_mw_ratio_median_short",
        "frp_mw_ratio_median_long",
        "frp_mw_median_short_over_long",
        "brightness_k_ratio_median_short",
        "brightness_k_ratio_median_long",
        "brightness_k_median_short_over_long",
        "detections_ratio_median_short",
        "detections_ratio_median_long",
        "detections_median_short_over_long",
        "frp_growth_ratio_median_short",
        "frp_growth_ratio_median_long",
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        "log_count_24h",
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        "brightness_k_vs_climatology",
        "brightness_k_climatology_available",
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        "detections_climatology_available",
        "frp_growth_vs_climatology",
        "frp_growth_climatology_available",
        "gap_quantile_pos",
        "gap_exceed_p95_rate",
        "frp_mw_skew",
        "frp_mw_kurtosis",
        "frp_mw_quantile_pos",
        "frp_mw_exceed_p95_rate",
        "frp_mw_hill_tail",
        "brightness_k_skew",
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        "brightness_k_quantile_pos",
        "brightness_k_exceed_p95_rate",
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        "detections_hill_tail",
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        "frp_growth_quantile_pos",
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      "degenerate_zeroed": [
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        "brightness_k_available",
        "detections_available",
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        "cat_last__unknown",
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        "censored_horizon",
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  },
  "note": "Copied verbatim from the run checkpoint and report. A domain that is not promoted still has weights here; it did not clear the gate and must not be presented as a validated result."
}