Who Flips? Self- and Cross-Model Counterarguments Reveal Answer Instability in LLMs
Abstract
Answer stability in large language models is evaluated through controlled challenges that measure response consistency when correct answers face plausible counterarguments, revealing significant variation in model reliability beyond traditional accuracy metrics.
Standard accuracy benchmarks are designed to test how closely large language models (LLMs) approach correct answers, but are not suitable for testing whether LLMs stick with a correct answer when that answer is challenged by a plausible counter-argument. We introduce a controlled protocol for evaluating answer stability: after a model answers a multiple-choice question correctly, we challenge the model's answer with a coherent argument for an incorrect option and measure whether the model flips. The setup a) isolates argumentative content from overt social pressure and b) varies argument length, self-attribution, and cross-model source. Across seven frontier models and 57 MMLU subjects, flip rates range from 17.5% to 97.3%, revealing large differences in stability that are not captured by accuracy metrics alone. We find that self-attribution consistently increases flip rates (mean +7.1pp, up to +18.7pp). Also, pooling wrong-answer arguments across models and selecting the most effective one per question yields stronger adversarial challenges than relying on any single source model. We further construct MaxFlip, a curated challenge set that amplifies flips by up to +23.6pp over standard self-generated challenges. We release the protocol, challenge records, and MaxFlip to support stability evaluation alongside standard accuracy benchmarks. Materials are available at https://github.com/nafisenik/WhoFlips and https://hf.co/datasets/nafisehNik/WhoFlips.
Community
Models often abandon correct answers when challenged with a plausible counterargument. Across 7 frontier models and 57 MMLU subjects, flip rates ranged 17.5%–97.3%. Telling a model the argument was its own raised flips by up to ~19pp. The authors release "MaxFlip," a curated hard-challenge set, to test answer stability alongside accuracy.
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