shubhranshu commited on
Commit
0ae2468
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 16fac5d

Update model card: accurate TempoPFN attribution + Apache-2.0 license

Browse files
Files changed (1) hide show
  1. README.md +8 -5
README.md CHANGED
@@ -19,8 +19,9 @@ indicators in a **single forward pass** (no autoregressive windowing) and return
19
 
20
  It is trained in two stages:
21
 
22
- 1. Base model: A ~1.2M-parameter linear-RNN backbone (architecture inspired by
23
- TempoPFN), trained from scratch **entirely on synthetic data** (no real macro data).
 
24
  2. **MacroCast** — Base model **fine-tuned** on FRED-MD via an expanding-window,
25
  real-time-vintage procedure, using a mixture of macro-calibrated synthetic
26
  panels (block-bootstrap, per-variable AR, Dynamic Factor Model, and BVAR).
@@ -75,6 +76,8 @@ point, quantiles = f.predict(history, horizon=12, freq="M")
75
  - Built for **monthly macroeconomic** panels. Feed transformed/stationary inputs.
76
  - Forecasts are statistical outputs, **not financial or policy advice**.
77
 
78
- ## Acknowledgements
79
- Architecture inspired by [TempoPFN](https://huggingface.co/AutoML-org/TempoPFN)
80
- (Apache-2.0); the vendored model code under `tempopfn/` derives from that project.
 
 
 
19
 
20
  It is trained in two stages:
21
 
22
+ 1. Base model: A ~1.2M-parameter linear-RNN backbone (built on
23
+ [TempoPFN](https://github.com/automl/TempoPFN), Apache-2.0), trained from
24
+ scratch **entirely on synthetic data** (no real macro data).
25
  2. **MacroCast** — Base model **fine-tuned** on FRED-MD via an expanding-window,
26
  real-time-vintage procedure, using a mixture of macro-calibrated synthetic
27
  panels (block-bootstrap, per-variable AR, Dynamic Factor Model, and BVAR).
 
76
  - Built for **monthly macroeconomic** panels. Feed transformed/stationary inputs.
77
  - Forecasts are statistical outputs, **not financial or policy advice**.
78
 
79
+ ## Acknowledgements & license
80
+ Built on [TempoPFN](https://github.com/automl/TempoPFN) (Apache-2.0): the model
81
+ backbone, trainer, and synthetic-data generators are vendored from that project
82
+ and modified for macroeconomic forecasting. Released under Apache-2.0. Please
83
+ cite TempoPFN (Moroshan et al., 2025; [arXiv:2510.25502](https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.25502)).