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14584, "landmark_or_route_location": 1351, "compound_or_parenthetical_place": 1059, "county_level_location": 340, "relative_location_phrase": 270, "blank_city": 179 }, "generated_utc": "2026-04-29T01:25:15+00:00", "safe_handling": "Missing geocodes are not imputed into the spatial tests. They are counted and routed to explicit recovery paths." }, "what_we_can_claim": [ "The missing NUFORC-derived rows were not geocoded by assumption; they were excluded from spatial tests and logged for recovery.", "The public geocoded report rows can be compared against Census place population and commercial-airport proximity as explanatory covariates.", "At the place level, report counts can be assessed against population concentration without claiming reports are true or false.", "Airport proximity can be treated as a public-source confounder, not as proof that airplanes caused specific reports.", "The nuclear power-plant proximity claim remains unsupported in this evidence surface after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls." ], "what_we_cannot_claim": [ "This dataset cannot prove what witnesses saw.", "This dataset cannot claim aircraft explain every report.", "This dataset cannot treat city/place centroids as exact sighting coordinates.", "This dataset cannot rule out all nuclear-weapons, military, or classified-site hypotheses.", "This dataset cannot assume the skipped missing-geocode rows would preserve or reverse the result without a separate recovery run." ], "safe_claim_language_passes": true, "plain_english_assessment": "The better explanation surface is population/reporting geography plus ordinary aviation proximity, while the nuclear-specific proximity claim remains unsupported after controls." }, "population_summary": { "event_count": 105250, "matched_population_event_count": 105086, "matched_population_event_share": 0.998442, "unique_event_places": 13660, "census_place_count": 31805, "population_bin_event_distribution": { "10k_50k": { "event_count": 28759, "event_share": 0.273245 }, "lt_10k": { "event_count": 29671, "event_share": 0.28191 }, "50k_250k": { "event_count": 28951, "event_share": 0.275069 }, "gte_1m": { "event_count": 4635, "event_share": 0.044038 }, "250k_1m": { "event_count": 13070, "event_share": 0.124181 }, 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"event_count": 572, "events_per_100k_population": 14.671 }, { "place_name": "San Diego city", "state": "CA", "population": 1386932, "event_count": 553, "events_per_100k_population": 39.872 }, { "place_name": "Chicago city", "state": "IL", "population": 2746388, "event_count": 443, "events_per_100k_population": 16.13 }, { "place_name": "Tucson city", "state": "AZ", "population": 542629, "event_count": 441, "events_per_100k_population": 81.271 }, { "place_name": "Houston city", "state": "TX", "population": 2304580, "event_count": 429, "events_per_100k_population": 18.615 }, { "place_name": "Albuquerque city", "state": "NM", "population": 564559, "event_count": 390, "events_per_100k_population": 69.08 }, { "place_name": "Orlando city", "state": "FL", "population": 307573, "event_count": 383, "events_per_100k_population": 124.523 }, { "place_name": "Miami city", "state": "FL", "population": 442241, "event_count": 356, "events_per_100k_population": 80.499 }, { "place_name": "Austin city", 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"state": "AK", "population": 2243, "event_count": 25, "events_per_100k_population": 1114.579 }, { "place_name": "Surfside Beach town", "state": "SC", "population": 4155, "event_count": 46, "events_per_100k_population": 1107.1 }, { "place_name": "Keaau CDP", "state": "HI", "population": 1195, "event_count": 13, "events_per_100k_population": 1087.866 }, { "place_name": "Rehoboth Beach city", "state": "DE", "population": 1108, "event_count": 12, "events_per_100k_population": 1083.032 }, { "place_name": "Davenport city", "state": "WA", "population": 1703, "event_count": 18, "events_per_100k_population": 1056.958 }, { "place_name": "Langhorne borough", "state": "PA", "population": 1643, "event_count": 17, "events_per_100k_population": 1034.693 }, { "place_name": "Sedona city", "state": "AZ", "population": 9684, "event_count": 96, "events_per_100k_population": 991.326 }, { "place_name": "Burnsville town", "state": "NC", "population": 1614, "event_count": 16, "events_per_100k_population": 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"landmark_or_route_location": 1351, "compound_or_parenthetical_place": 1059, "county_level_location": 340, "relative_location_phrase": 270, "blank_city": 179 }, "generated_utc": "2026-04-29T01:25:15+00:00", "safe_handling": "Missing geocodes are not imputed into the spatial tests. They are counted and routed to explicit recovery paths." }, "nuclear_statistical_tests": { "statistical_tests_version": "nuclear_uap_correlation_index_private_preview_v1:statistical_tests", "uap_event_count": 105250, "nuclear_site_count": 57, "control_site_count": 285, "near_any_nuclear_event_counts": { "25": 8023, "50": 27781, "100": 52567 }, "tests_by_radius": { "25": { "radius_miles": 25, "nuclear_site_count": 57, "control_site_count": 285, "nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 156.2105, "control_mean_reports_per_site": 268.0561, "nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.582753, "nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 118, "control_median_reports_per_site": 117, "observed_mean_difference": -111.845614, "p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.994006, "p_value_two_sided": 0.024975, "permutations": 1000, "seed": 1337 }, "50": { "radius_miles": 50, "nuclear_site_count": 57, "control_site_count": 285, "nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 649.9825, "control_mean_reports_per_site": 763.0491, "nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.851823, "nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 446, "control_median_reports_per_site": 452, "observed_mean_difference": -113.066667, "p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.854146, "p_value_two_sided": 0.286713, "permutations": 1000, "seed": 1337 }, "100": { "radius_miles": 100, "nuclear_site_count": 57, "control_site_count": 285, "nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 2062.7018, "control_mean_reports_per_site": 2125.4667, "nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.97047, "nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 1593, "control_median_reports_per_site": 1617, "observed_mean_difference": -62.764912, "p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.615385, "p_value_two_sided": 0.751249, "permutations": 1000, "seed": 1337 } }, "primary_test_radius_miles": 50, "resolution_status": "not_supported_after_matched_power_plant_controls", "assessment_confidence": "high", "recommended_plain_english": "The public geocoded report rows do not show a nuclear-specific proximity signal after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls in the primary 50-mile test.", "what_we_can_claim": [ "This run tests whether public geocoded UFO-report mirror rows are closer to geolocated nuclear power-plant sites than to matched non-nuclear power-plant controls.", "The primary assessment is spatial and comparative; it is not a causal test." ], "what_we_cannot_claim": [ "This run cannot claim nuclear activity attracts UAP or UFO reports.", "This run cannot evaluate classified military or weapons-site activity unless those sites are represented by public geocoded source rows.", "City-level report geocoding introduces location uncertainty and should not be treated as eyewitness-level coordinates." ], "statistical_tests_hash": "782cacead40f73115b9e2496efa106b846376d7ace4f1eed4fee3c331c75d13e" }, "plain_language": { "what_it_is": "A public-source evidence surface for testing whether public UAP/UFO report rows cluster around nuclear power plants after simple controls.", "what_it_is_not": "It is not a claim that reports are true, false, alien, aircraft, coordinated, or caused by any one factor.", "headline_finding": "In this evidence surface, public geocoded report rows do not show a nuclear-specific proximity signal after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls.", "best_supported_explanation": "Population/reporting geography is a strong observable factor; major-airport proximity appears mostly consistent with where people live." } }, "manifest_hash": "03b2b20c1ce003707e124ec2d8d13d54304433e590e811fee3ba0dc99a68f186" }