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scenario_id
string
ai_misuse_capability
float64
attacker_scale
float64
exploit_chain_complexity
float64
infrastructure_dependency_depth
float64
service_outage_hours
int64
economic_loss_index
float64
incident_detection_latency_days
int64
patch_coordination_lag_days
int64
government_response_lag_days
int64
public_trust_index
float64
regulatory_pressure_score
float64
buffer_infra_redundancy
float64
buffer_response_capacity
float64
cascade_severity_score
float64
label_cascade_event
int64
CYB-001
0.28
0.3
0.34
0.48
6
0.18
5
12
18
0.72
0.31
0.74
0.71
0.33
0
CYB-002
0.76
0.78
0.79
0.86
72
0.74
14
38
52
0.34
0.82
0.29
0.33
0.92
1
CYB-003
0.44
0.46
0.5
0.62
18
0.34
8
20
29
0.6
0.48
0.58
0.6
0.55
0
CYB-004
0.84
0.86
0.88
0.91
96
0.82
18
47
61
0.28
0.9
0.22
0.25
0.96
1
CYB-005
0.58
0.62
0.63
0.73
36
0.49
10
27
40
0.49
0.63
0.46
0.5
0.7
0
CYB-006
0.22
0.24
0.28
0.41
4
0.12
4
10
15
0.76
0.26
0.79
0.75
0.28
0
CYB-007
0.92
0.9
0.93
0.94
120
0.9
21
55
70
0.2
0.94
0.18
0.2
0.99
1
CYB-008
0.47
0.5
0.52
0.66
22
0.38
9
22
32
0.57
0.52
0.55
0.58
0.59
0
CYB-009
0.8
0.82
0.84
0.89
80
0.78
16
42
58
0.31
0.86
0.26
0.29
0.94
1

What this repo does

This dataset tests whether a model can detect a cross-domain cascade where AI-enabled cyber pressure propagates into infrastructure outages and economic disruption.

You provide structured signals describing:

  • AI misuse capability and attacker scale
  • exploit chain complexity and infrastructure dependency depth
  • detection and patch coordination lag
  • outage duration and economic loss pressure
  • trust, regulation, and buffer capacity

The model predicts whether the scenario crosses into a cascade event.

Core cascade

Four interacting systems:

AI misuse

  • ai_misuse_capability
  • attacker_scale

Cyber pathway

  • exploit_chain_complexity
  • incident_detection_latency_days

Infrastructure impact

  • infrastructure_dependency_depth
  • service_outage_hours

Economic and policy feedback

  • economic_loss_index
  • government_response_lag_days

Prediction target

Target column:

  • label_cascade_event

Meaning:

  • 0 = disruption remains containable
  • 1 = cross-system cascade propagates across infrastructure and economy

Row structure

Each row is a scenario snapshot.

Key columns:

  • ai_misuse_capability
  • attacker_scale
  • exploit_chain_complexity
  • infrastructure_dependency_depth
  • service_outage_hours
  • economic_loss_index
  • incident_detection_latency_days
  • patch_coordination_lag_days
  • government_response_lag_days
  • public_trust_index
  • regulatory_pressure_score
  • buffer_infra_redundancy
  • buffer_response_capacity
  • cascade_severity_score

Files

  • data/train.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • data/tester.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • scorer.py
    Binary metrics and confusion matrix

Evaluation

Run:

python scorer.py --gold data/tester.csv --pred your_predictions.csv

Outputs:

  • accuracy
  • precision
  • recall
  • f1
  • confusion matrix

License

MIT

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability. The sample demonstrates the geometry. Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables • 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns • Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis • Real-time coherence monitoring • Early warning before cascade events • Collapse surface and recovery window modeling • Integration and implementation support Small samples reveal structure. Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains. For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture: team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable. Governance determines whether it propagates.

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