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scenario_id
string
ai_compute_demand_growth
float64
grid_stress_index
float64
energy_price_volatility
float64
ai_service_dependency_ratio
float64
market_volatility_index
float64
capital_flight_pressure
float64
policy_response_lag_days
int64
regulatory_intervention_intensity
float64
public_cost_sensitivity_index
float64
industrial_output_disruption
float64
buffer_energy_reserves
float64
buffer_capital_liquidity
float64
cascade_severity_score
float64
label_cascade_event
int64
XDOM-001
0.18
0.32
0.28
0.44
0.3
0.26
21
0.35
0.4
0.22
0.72
0.7
0.38
0
XDOM-002
0.47
0.78
0.74
0.81
0.76
0.69
52
0.83
0.79
0.68
0.34
0.36
0.91
1
XDOM-003
0.29
0.49
0.46
0.6
0.48
0.41
33
0.52
0.55
0.37
0.58
0.6
0.57
0
XDOM-004
0.55
0.86
0.82
0.88
0.84
0.78
61
0.9
0.85
0.75
0.27
0.29
0.96
1
XDOM-005
0.36
0.61
0.58
0.69
0.6
0.53
40
0.63
0.66
0.49
0.49
0.51
0.71
0
XDOM-006
0.14
0.28
0.24
0.38
0.27
0.22
18
0.31
0.35
0.19
0.76
0.74
0.3
0
XDOM-007
0.62
0.91
0.88
0.93
0.89
0.83
70
0.94
0.9
0.82
0.21
0.23
0.99
1
XDOM-008
0.25
0.45
0.42
0.57
0.44
0.39
29
0.48
0.5
0.33
0.63
0.65
0.52
0
XDOM-009
0.51
0.83
0.79
0.85
0.81
0.74
57
0.88
0.83
0.72
0.3
0.32
0.94
1

What this repo does

This dataset models a cross-domain cascade linking AI demand, energy systems, financial markets, and policy response.

You provide structured signals describing:

  • AI compute demand growth
  • grid stress and energy volatility
  • market instability and capital pressure
  • policy lag and regulatory intervention
  • buffering capacity across energy and finance

The model predicts whether cross-system strain escalates into a cascade event.

Core cascade

Four interacting systems:

AI

  • ai_compute_demand_growth
  • ai_service_dependency_ratio

Energy

  • grid_stress_index
  • energy_price_volatility

Market

  • market_volatility_index
  • capital_flight_pressure

Policy

  • policy_response_lag_days
  • regulatory_intervention_intensity

Prediction target

Target column:

  • label_cascade_event

Meaning:

  • 0 = cross-domain strain stabilizes
  • 1 = multi-system cascade propagates across energy, market, and governance layers

Row structure

Each row is a scenario snapshot.

Key columns:

  • ai_compute_demand_growth
  • grid_stress_index
  • energy_price_volatility
  • ai_service_dependency_ratio
  • market_volatility_index
  • capital_flight_pressure
  • policy_response_lag_days
  • regulatory_intervention_intensity
  • public_cost_sensitivity_index
  • industrial_output_disruption
  • buffer_energy_reserves
  • buffer_capital_liquidity
  • cascade_severity_score

Files

  • data/train.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • data/tester.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • scorer.py
    Binary metrics and confusion matrix

Evaluation

Run:

python scorer.py --gold data/tester.csv --pred your_predictions.csv

Outputs:

  • accuracy
  • precision
  • recall
  • f1
  • confusion matrix

License

MIT

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability. The sample demonstrates the geometry. Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables • 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns • Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis • Real-time coherence monitoring • Early warning before cascade events • Collapse surface and recovery window modeling • Integration and implementation support Small samples reveal structure. Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains. For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture: team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable. Governance determines whether it propagates.

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