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scenario_id
string
current_severity
string
heart_rate_trend
string
map_trend
string
lactate_trend
string
urine_output_trend
string
oxygen_requirement_trend
string
vasopressor_trend
string
mental_status_trend
string
organ_function_trend
string
reserve_capacity
string
support_withdrawal_success
string
label
int64
train_001
moderate
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
improving
medium
yes
1
train_002
moderate
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
stable
stable
improving
medium
yes
1
train_003
high
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
stable
medium
partial
1
train_004
low
stable
stable
falling
worsening
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_005
moderate
improving
improving
falling
worsening
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_006
low
improving
stable
falling
stable
stable
stable
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_007
moderate
stable
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
stable
improving
medium
yes
1
train_008
high
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
improving
medium
partial
1
train_009
moderate
improving
improving
falling
stable
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_010
low
stable
improving
stable
worsening
rising
stable
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_011
moderate
stable
stable
rising
worsening
rising
rising
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_012
high
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
stable
improving
medium
partial
1
train_013
low
improving
stable
falling
improving
stable
falling
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_014
moderate
improving
stable
falling
worsening
rising
stable
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_015
high
stable
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
stable
medium
partial
1
train_016
low
improving
improving
falling
stable
falling
stable
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_017
moderate
stable
stable
falling
worsening
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_018
high
improving
improving
falling
worsening
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_019
moderate
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
stable
stable
improving
medium
yes
1
train_020
low
stable
stable
stable
worsening
rising
stable
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_021
high
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
improving
medium
partial
1
train_022
moderate
improving
improving
falling
worsening
stable
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_023
low
stable
improving
falling
improving
falling
stable
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_024
moderate
stable
improving
stable
worsening
rising
rising
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_025
high
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
improving
medium
partial
1
train_026
low
improving
stable
falling
improving
stable
stable
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_027
moderate
stable
stable
rising
worsening
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_028
high
improving
improving
falling
worsening
rising
rising
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_029
moderate
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
falling
stable
improving
medium
yes
1
train_030
low
stable
stable
falling
worsening
rising
stable
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_031
high
stable
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
stable
medium
partial
1
train_032
moderate
improving
improving
falling
stable
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_033
low
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
stable
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_034
moderate
stable
improving
stable
worsening
rising
rising
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_035
high
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
falling
improving
improving
medium
partial
1
train_036
low
stable
stable
stable
worsening
rising
stable
worsening
worsening
low
no
0
train_037
moderate
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
falling
stable
improving
medium
yes
1
train_038
high
improving
improving
falling
worsening
rising
rising
stable
worsening
low
no
0
train_039
low
improving
stable
falling
improving
stable
falling
stable
improving
high
yes
1
train_040
moderate
stable
stable
rising
worsening
rising
rising
worsening
worsening
low
no
0

What this dataset does

This dataset tests whether a model can distinguish genuine recovery from superficial improvement.

The task is not to detect whether one marker improved.

The task is to decide whether the overall patient state is moving toward a healthier stability basin.

What changed in v0.2

v0.2 adds misleading improvement cases.

Some rows show improving heart rate, MAP, or lactate while urine output, oxygen requirement, vasopressor trend, or organ function worsens.

v0.2 also adds support withdrawal status.

This makes the task harder than v0.1.

Core stability idea

Recovery is structural, not cosmetic.

A patient may improve on visible markers while still losing reserve or becoming more dependent on support.

A patient may still look severe while moving coherently toward recovery.

Correct classification requires reasoning across trajectory, reserve, organ function, and whether support can be withdrawn without destabilization.

Prediction target

The label column is binary.

Label 1 means genuine recovery trajectory.

Label 0 means superficial improvement or non-recovery.

Row structure

Each row contains:

  • scenario_id
  • current_severity
  • heart_rate_trend
  • map_trend
  • lactate_trend
  • urine_output_trend
  • oxygen_requirement_trend
  • vasopressor_trend
  • mental_status_trend
  • organ_function_trend
  • reserve_capacity
  • support_withdrawal_success
  • label

current_severity uses:

  • low
  • moderate
  • high

trend fields use:

  • improving
  • stable
  • worsening
  • rising
  • falling

reserve_capacity uses:

  • high
  • medium
  • low

support_withdrawal_success uses:

  • yes
  • partial
  • no

Evaluation

Submissions must contain:

scenario_id,prediction
test_001,1
test_002,1
test_003,0
Run:

python scorer.py predictions.csv

Optional truth path:

python scorer.py predictions.csv data/test.csv

The scorer reports:

Accuracy
Precision
Recall
F1
Confusion matrix
Structural Note

This benchmark contains counterfactual and misleading improvement cases designed to prevent shortcut learning from individual improving markers.

The dataset does not expose the hidden rationale behind each label.

The goal is to evaluate whether models can detect genuine recovery geometry rather than superficial improvement.

License

MIT
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