| # L4 to L5: baseline-adjusted reanalysis |
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| Raw level means include all domains. Adjusted means use only domains nonconstant at BOTH levels. All differences are proportions (multiply by 100 for percentage points). Bootstrap uses 10,000 domain-stratified IMAGE-cluster resamples; an image receives the same multiplicity at both levels. Empirical ground-truth baselines are held fixed, so CIs are conditional on the evaluated truth distribution. The constant-exclusion difference is descriptive, not a causal attribution. |
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| | model | n | baseline | raw_accuracy | adjusted_score | excluded_constant | small_n | paired_domains | raw_L4 | raw_L5 | adjusted_L4 | adjusted_L5 | n_L4_all | n_L5_all | n_L4_paired | n_L5_paired | baseline_L4_paired | baseline_L5_paired | raw_L4_paired | raw_L5_paired | adjusted_L5_minus_L4 | ci_low | ci_high | verdict | raw_L5_without_constants | raw_rise_before | raw_rise_after | raw_rise_removed_by_constant_exclusion | |
| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |
| | claude_opus_5 | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.454839 | 0.183569 | False | False | 31 | 0.402941 | 0.551765 | 0.149082 | 0.218056 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.379355 | 0.530323 | 0.068974 | 0.024170 | 0.113034 | survives | 0.530323 | 0.148824 | 0.127381 | 0.021442 | |
| | claude_sonnet_5 | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.327097 | -0.043400 | False | False | 31 | 0.297647 | 0.383529 | 0.008937 | -0.095736 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.285806 | 0.368387 | -0.104672 | -0.157881 | -0.051941 | reverses | 0.368387 | 0.085882 | 0.070740 | 0.015142 | |
| | deepseek_v4_1_flash | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.269032 | -0.191828 | False | False | 31 | 0.238824 | 0.348235 | -0.077344 | -0.306313 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.227097 | 0.310968 | -0.228968 | -0.283913 | -0.173435 | reverses | 0.310968 | 0.109412 | 0.072144 | 0.037268 | |
| | gemini_3_8_flash | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.484194 | 0.219608 | False | False | 31 | 0.454118 | 0.550000 | 0.220583 | 0.218634 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.430323 | 0.538065 | -0.001949 | -0.049164 | 0.044648 | indistinguishable from zero | 0.538065 | 0.095882 | 0.083947 | 0.011935 | |
| | gpt_5_6_luna | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.263226 | -0.169157 | False | False | 31 | 0.238824 | 0.340000 | -0.074246 | -0.264069 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.226452 | 0.300000 | -0.189823 | -0.247751 | -0.131252 | reverses | 0.300000 | 0.101176 | 0.061176 | 0.040000 | |
| | gpt_5_6_sol | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.329677 | -0.033398 | False | False | 31 | 0.305882 | 0.404706 | 0.030280 | -0.097077 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.291613 | 0.367742 | -0.127357 | -0.182329 | -0.075919 | reverses | 0.367742 | 0.098824 | 0.061860 | 0.036964 | |
| | grok_4_6 | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.372903 | 0.057892 | False | False | 31 | 0.326471 | 0.463529 | 0.080726 | 0.035059 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.311613 | 0.434194 | -0.045667 | -0.091132 | 0.000745 | indistinguishable from zero | 0.434194 | 0.137059 | 0.107723 | 0.029336 | |
| | inking | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.247097 | -0.222736 | False | False | 31 | 0.232353 | 0.321176 | -0.079506 | -0.365966 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.210323 | 0.283871 | -0.286461 | -0.343340 | -0.229998 | reverses | 0.283871 | 0.088824 | 0.051518 | 0.037306 | |
| | muse_glimmer_30b | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.279677 | -0.194990 | False | False | 31 | 0.258235 | 0.334706 | -0.049386 | -0.340594 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.246452 | 0.312903 | -0.291208 | -0.343732 | -0.239474 | reverses | 0.312903 | 0.076471 | 0.054668 | 0.021803 | |
| | perplexity_sonar_pro | 3100 | 0.321290 | 0.232258 | -0.215963 | False | False | 31 | 0.207059 | 0.313529 | -0.136017 | -0.295909 | 1700 | 1700 | 1550 | 1550 | 0.245161 | 0.397419 | 0.181935 | 0.282581 | -0.159891 | -0.215411 | -0.106239 | reverses | 0.282581 | 0.106471 | 0.075522 | 0.030949 | |
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| - Claude Opus 5: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise survives (difference +6.90 pp; 95% CI +2.42 to +11.30 pp). |
| - Claude Sonnet 5: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -10.47 pp; 95% CI -15.79 to -5.19 pp). |
| - DeepSeek V4.1 Flash: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -22.90 pp; 95% CI -28.39 to -17.34 pp). |
| - Gemini 3.8 Flash: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise indistinguishable from zero (difference -0.19 pp; 95% CI -4.92 to +4.46 pp). |
| - GPT-5.6 Luna: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -18.98 pp; 95% CI -24.78 to -13.13 pp). |
| - GPT-5.6 Sol: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -12.74 pp; 95% CI -18.23 to -7.59 pp). |
| - Grok 4.6: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise indistinguishable from zero (difference -4.57 pp; 95% CI -9.11 to +0.07 pp). |
| - Inkling: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -28.65 pp; 95% CI -34.33 to -23.00 pp). |
| - Muse Glimmer 30B: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -29.12 pp; 95% CI -34.37 to -23.95 pp). |
| - Perplexity Sonar Pro: the adjusted L4-to-L5 rise reverses (difference -15.99 pp; 95% CI -21.54 to -10.62 pp). |
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