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metadata
annotations_creators:
  - no-annotation
language_creators:
  - found
language:
  - en
license: cc-by-sa-4.0
multilinguality:
  - monolingual
size_categories:
  - n<1K
source_datasets:
  - original
task_categories:
  - tabular-classification
  - tabular-regression
task_ids: []
tags:
  - africa
  - humanitarian
  - hdx
  - electric-sheep-africa
  - conflict-violence
  - fatalities
  - forecasting
  - hxl
  - eri
pretty_name: Eritrea - VIEWS conflict forecasts
dataset_info:
  splits:
    - name: train
      num_examples: 28
    - name: test
      num_examples: 7

Eritrea - VIEWS conflict forecasts

Publisher: Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System · Source: HDX · License: cc-by-sa · Updated: 2026-04-01


Abstract

The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) is an award-winning conflict prediction system that generates monthly forecasts for violent conflicts across the world up to three years in advance. It is supported by the iterative research and development activities undertaken by the VIEWS consortium.

Each row in this dataset represents country-level aggregates. Data was last updated on HDX on 2026-04-01. Geographic scope: ERI.

Curated into ML-ready Parquet format by Electric Sheep Africa.


Dataset Characteristics

Domain Conflict and security
Unit of observation Country-level aggregates
Rows (total) 36
Columns 12 (8 numeric, 4 categorical, 0 datetime)
Train split 28 rows
Test split 7 rows
Geographic scope ERI
Publisher Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System
HDX last updated 2026-04-01

Variables

Geographiccountry_id (range 56.0–56.0), isoab (ERI), year (range 2026.0–2029.0).

Temporalmonth_id (range 555.0–590.0), month (range 1.0–12.0).

Identifier / Metadataname (Eritrea), gwcode (range 531.0–531.0), esa_source (HDX), esa_processed (2026-04-06).

Othermain_mean_ln (range 0.0266–0.1345), main_mean (range 0.027–0.1439), main_dich (range 0.0–0.0).


Quick Start

from datasets import load_dataset

ds    = load_dataset("electricsheepafrica/africa-eri-views-conflict-forecasts")
train = ds["train"].to_pandas()
test  = ds["test"].to_pandas()

print(train.shape)
train.head()

Schema

Column Type Null % Range / Sample Values
country_id int64 0.0% 56.0 – 56.0 (mean 56.0)
month_id int64 0.0% 555.0 – 590.0 (mean 572.5)
name object 0.0% Eritrea
gwcode int64 0.0% 531.0 – 531.0 (mean 531.0)
isoab object 0.0% ERI
year int64 0.0% 2026.0 – 2029.0 (mean 2027.1667)
month int64 0.0% 1.0 – 12.0 (mean 6.5)
main_mean_ln float64 0.0% 0.0266 – 0.1345 (mean 0.0679)
main_mean float64 0.0% 0.027 – 0.1439 (mean 0.0704)
main_dich float64 0.0% 0.0 – 0.0 (mean 0.0)
esa_source object 0.0% HDX
esa_processed object 0.0% 2026-04-06

Numeric Summary

Column Min Max Mean Median
country_id 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0
month_id 555.0 590.0 572.5 572.5
gwcode 531.0 531.0 531.0 531.0
year 2026.0 2029.0 2027.1667 2027.0
month 1.0 12.0 6.5 6.5
main_mean_ln 0.0266 0.1345 0.0679 0.0633
main_mean 0.027 0.1439 0.0704 0.0654
main_dich 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Curation

Raw data was downloaded from HDX via the CKAN API and converted to Parquet. Column names were lowercased and standardised to snake_case. Common missing-value markers (N/A, null, none, -, unknown, no data, #N/A) were unified to NaN. The dataset was split 80/20 into train and test partitions using a fixed random seed (42) and saved as Snappy-compressed Parquet.


Limitations

  • Data originates from Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System and has not been independently validated by ESA.
  • Automated cleaning cannot correct for misreported values, definitional inconsistencies, or sampling bias in the original collection.
  • Refer to the original HDX dataset page for the publisher's own methodology notes and caveats.

Citation

@dataset{hdx_africa_eri_views_conflict_forecasts,
  title     = {Eritrea - VIEWS conflict forecasts},
  author    = {Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System},
  year      = {2026},
  url       = {https://data.humdata.org/dataset/eri-views-conflict-forecasts},
  note      = {Repackaged for machine learning by Electric Sheep Africa (https://huggingface.co/electricsheepafrica)}
}

Electric Sheep Africa — Africa's ML dataset infrastructure. Lagos, Nigeria.