electricsheepafrica/africa-synth-agriculture-farm-gate-prices-nigeria

⚠️ Synthetic dataset — Parameterized from published SSA literature, not real observations. Not suitable for empirical analysis or policy inference.

Nigeria Agriculture – Farm Gate Prices

Dataset Description

Farmer prices vs market prices, middleman margins.

Category: Agricultural Markets & Pricing
Rows: 140,000
Format: CSV, Parquet
License: MIT
Synthetic: Yes (generated using reference data from FAO, NBS, NiMet, FMARD)

Dataset Structure

Schema

• farm_id: string
• crop: string
• date: string
• farm_gate_price_ngn_kg: float
• market_price_ngn_kg: float
• margin_pct: float

Sample Data

| farm_id     | crop    | date       |   farm_gate_price_ngn_kg |   market_price_ngn_kg |   margin_pct |
|:------------|:--------|:-----------|-------------------------:|----------------------:|-------------:|
| FARM-006016 | soybean | 2022-06-02 |                    30    |                642.24 |         52.2 |
| FARM-040866 | onion   | 2022-11-03 |                   684.97 |                607.89 |         44.4 |
| FARM-018843 | rice    | 2022-10-01 |                   166.57 |                599.51 |         31   |
| FARM-033325 | sorghum | 2024-06-14 |                   402.58 |                814.02 |         52.6 |
| FARM-008010 | maize   | 2023-01-20 |                   499.65 |                949.56 |         53.2 |

Data Generation Methodology

This dataset was synthetically generated using:

1. Reference Sources:

   • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) - crop yields, production data
   • NBS (National Bureau of Statistics, Nigeria) - farm characteristics, surveys
   • NiMet (Nigerian Meteorological Agency) - weather patterns
   • FMARD (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development) - extension guides
   • IITA (International Institute of Tropical Agriculture) - agronomic research

2. Domain Constraints:

   • Crop calendars and phenology (planting/harvest windows)
   • Agro-ecological zone characteristics (Sahel, Sudan Savanna, Guinea Savanna, Rainforest)
   • Nigeria-specific realities (smallholder dominance, market dynamics, conflict zones)
   • Statistical distributions matching national agricultural patterns

3. Quality Assurance:

   • Distribution testing (KS test, chi-square)
   • Correlation validation (rainfall-yield, fertilizer-yield, yield-price)
   • Causal consistency (DAG-based generation)
   • Multi-scale coherence (farm → state aggregations)
   • Ethical considerations (representative, unbiased)

See QUALITY_ASSURANCE.md in the repository for full methodology.

Use Cases

• Machine Learning: Yield prediction, price forecasting, pest detection, supply chain optimization
• Policy Analysis: Agricultural program evaluation, subsidy impact assessment, food security planning
• Research: Climate-agriculture interactions, market dynamics, technology adoption patterns
• Education: Teaching agricultural economics, data science applications in agriculture

Limitations

• Synthetic data: While grounded in real distributions, individual records are not real observations
• Simplified dynamics: Some complex interactions (e.g., multi-generational pest populations) are simplified
• Temporal scope: Covers 2022-2025; may not reflect longer-term trends or future climate scenarios
• Spatial resolution: State/LGA level; does not capture micro-level heterogeneity within localities

Citation

If you use this dataset, please cite:

@dataset{nigeria_agriculture_2025,
  title = {Nigeria Agriculture – Farm Gate Prices},
  author = {Electric Sheep Africa},
  year = {2025},
  publisher = {Hugging Face},
  url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/electricsheepafrica/nigerian_agriculture_farm_gate_prices}
}

Related Datasets

This dataset is part of the Nigeria Agriculture & Food Systems collection:

• https://huggingface.co/collections/electricsheepafrica/nigeria-agriculture-and-food-systems

Contact

For questions, feedback, or collaboration:

• Organization: Electric Sheep Africa
• Collection: Nigeria Agriculture & Food Systems
• Repository: https://github.com/electricsheepafrica/nigerian-datasets

Changelog

Version 1.0.0 (October 2025)

• Initial release
• 140,000 synthetic records
• Quality-assured using FAO/NBS/NiMet reference data