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metadata
license: mit
tags:
  - college-football
  - monte-carlo
  - sports-analytics

CFB Monte Carlo Sims - 2025 Season Archive

Per-game Monte Carlo simulation output for the 2025 college football season, produced by MVPeav's CFB-Monte model. Archived from the site frontend so the web app can fetch it at runtime instead of bundling it.

Layout

2025/season_index.json              # week list + counts (start here)
2025/weeks/weekNN/index.json        # per-week manifest, games[] with slugs + team names
2025/weeks/weekNN/scores_bundle.csv # all games' score sims for the week (one fetch)
2025/weeks/weekNN/scores/<slug>.csv # single game score sims
2025/weeks/weekNN/players/<slug>.csv# single game player sims
2025/weeks/weekNN/games.csv         # schedule, closing lines, actual results
2025/weeks/weekNN/open.csv          # opening lines (most weeks)

<slug> is <teamA>_<teamB>, lowercased and stripped of non-alphanumerics.

Schemas

  • scores_bundle.csv: slug,team,opp,pts,opp_pts,plays,opp_plays - one row per simulation.
  • scores/<slug>.csv: same minus slug.
  • players/<slug>.csv: sim,start,team,opp,player,role,pass_att,pass_comp,pass_yds,pass_td,INT,sacks,rush_att,rush_yds,rush_td,rec,tgt,rec_yds,rec_td
  • games.csv: date,time,Team A,Team B,Spread,OU,Team A Score Actual,Team B Score Actual,TeamAML,TeamBML
  • open.csv: Id,HomeTeam,HomeScore,AwayTeam,AwayScore,FormattedSpread,LineProvider,OverUnder,Spread,OpeningSpread,OpeningOverUnder,HomeMoneyline,AwayMoneyline

Weeks 14-16 cover rivalry week, conference championships, and bowls + Army-Navy.