Do-Over-Time-PFN checkpoints
Causal foundation-model (PFN) checkpoints for DoTime
(https://github.com/thummd/dotime). Two synthetic priors --- s9ho (OSC) and
s9btm (BTM) --- each with {bd,fd,iv,all} structures in causal (interventional)
and obs (observational) variants. Load with dotime.models.loader.load_dotpfn.
s10 series โ erratum retrain of the observational arms (2026-08)
The s9*_obs checkpoints were trained with an --obs-only-target Y_obs whose
raw targets were identically zero (the target was read from the causally
masked observational tensor), so they degenerated into pre-onset-mean
predictors. s10ho_*_obs / s10btm_*_obs are the same configurations
retrained on the corrected Y_obs; the s9*_causal arms are unaffected and
remain the interventional counterparts. Under the paper's structure-matched
protocol the interventional-vs-observational direction-accuracy gap does not
survive this correction (see the DoTime erratum ledger,
https://github.com/thummd/dotime, results/reference/erratum/). The s9*_obs
checkpoints stay published for reproducibility of the original numbers.